TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Sulc vs Adam Martin Rek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012711115811––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:42 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Martin Rek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Adam Martin Rek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Adam Martin Rek at 59.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 27–35 Adam Martin Rek Martin Sulc has won 27 of their 62 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-35 in 62
Rek
Correct
gap of 8 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1570 vs Rek 1625
Rek
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 40% vs Rek 80%
Rek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 60% vs Rek 40%
Sulc
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc -2 · Rek +4
Rek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 2.25 / Rek 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Rek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13208296
Sulc2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog44% won 77 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back31% 30 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Rek1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 97 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it72% 71 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc5wins
AwayRek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc66.7%4 of 6
AwayRek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc6Rek4n = 10Sulc took 6 of 10
S2Sulc5Rek5n = 10split evenly
S3Sulc2Rek8n = 10Rek took 8 of 10
S4Sulc2Rek7n = 9Rek took 7 of 9
S5Sulc4Rek0n = 4Sulc took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcRekS − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.141.5+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcRekBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 650 vs 318 / 55050.5%57.8%328 / 650 vs 318 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekSulc 2.25/Rek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 12:50M. Sulc361071181A. Rek3912115113
WSep 23 · 21:59M. Sulc521111109113A. Rek4378121152
WSep 23 · 19:55M. Sulc56161199113A. Rek48143111192
WSep 7 · 15:20M. Sulc46111112123A. Rek347314101
LAug 31 · 10:50M. Sulc27811441A. Rek3611311113
LAug 30 · 22:30M. Sulc3013980A. Rek371511113
LAug 30 · 19:25M. Sulc37118991A. Rek4181111113
WAug 30 · 17:50M. Sulc47711117113A. Rek4611971182
LAug 30 · 15:50M. Sulc431610891A. Rek48141211113
WAug 17 · 13:25M. Sulc471111311113A. Rek4381311832
M. Sulc10
LSep 28 · 13:25V. Hejda Jr1.831213511113M. Sulc1.83141111982LSep 28 · 11:20M. Sochor2.0081211113M. Sulc1.731110641LSep 28 · 10:50V. Hejda Jr1.73711912113M. Sulc2.00114111072WSep 27 · 09:48O. Fiklik1.73127961M. Sulc2.00101111113WSep 27 · 08:20A. Langer2.005730M. Sulc1.731111113LSep 27 · 07:50O. Fiklik1.671011155113M. Sulc2.10126131152WSep 27 · 06:50M. Sulc2.2011127113M. Kulisek1.616101171WSep 26 · 14:30A. Langer2.49561141M. Sulc1.4811119113WSep 26 · 13:25D. Sochor2.756350M. Sulc1.401111113WSep 26 · 12:25M. Sulc1.6112119113J. Cerny2.201061141
A. Rek10
WSep 28 · 13:55A. Rek1.4511113113M. Sochor2.60861171WSep 28 · 11:50A. Rek1.5791311123V. Hejda Jr2.2511114101WSep 28 · 10:20M. Sochor2.635580A. Rek1.441111113WSep 25 · 14:04A. Rek1.83111423113A. Kosacky1.83812111192WSep 25 · 13:25A. Kosacky1.7382100A. Rek2.001111123LSep 25 · 12:25A. Rek1.506780V. Hejda Jr2.501111113LSep 25 · 10:55A. Langer2.38116411113A. Rek1.5311111972LSep 23 · 21:59M. Sulc2.151111109113A. Rek1.6378121152LSep 23 · 20:55A. Rek1.57611101152J. Hrncir2.25119126113LSep 23 · 19:55A. Rek1.53143111192M. Sulc2.38161199113
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