TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krystian Kolodziej vs Krzysztof Kapik 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115611118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
119115611118––
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 118–115 Krzysztof Kapik Krzysztof Kapik has won 115 of their 233 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:44What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Kolodziej
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
118-115 in 233
Kolodziej
Correct
gap of 3 in 233, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1755 vs Kapik 1675
Kolodziej
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 20% vs Kapik 60%
Kapik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 40% vs Kapik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej -3 · Kapik +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kapik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 1.40 / Kapik 2.65
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Kapik)+21.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13206933
Kolodziej1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite76% won 440 of 583
Up 2–0, closes it97% 278 of 286
Up 1–0, closes it87% 364 of 418
Kapik2.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 174 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back24% 52 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej7wins
AwayKapik3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolodziej leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej66.7%2 of 3
AwayKapik28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej3Kapik7n = 10Kapik took 7 of 10
S2Kolodziej6Kapik4n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S3Kolodziej8Kapik2n = 10Kolodziej took 8 of 10
S4Kolodziej5Kapik3n = 8Kolodziej took 5 of 8
S5Kolodziej3Kapik1n = 4Kolodziej took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejKapikKolodziej − KapikBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.136.2+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime1267 / 1893 vs 1122 / 210766.9%53.3%1267 / 1893 vs 1122 / 2107Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikKolodziej 1.40/Kapik 2.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej331111113K. Kapik183960
WAug 28 · 18:30K. Kolodziej4071111113K. Kapik29116751
LAug 26 · 17:40K. Kolodziej371011971K. Kapik4312911113
LAug 14 · 19:15K. Kolodziej47111211852K. Kapik49814511113
WJul 30 · 15:45K. Kolodziej4391111123K. Kapik321156101
WJul 23 · 16:30K. Kolodziej48911611113K. Kapik3511311462
WJul 21 · 15:45K. Kolodziej48781111113K. Kapik4711119882
WJul 21 · 09:20K. Kolodziej351311113K. Kapik2611960
LJul 13 · 18:05K. Kolodziej327111131K. Kapik4011135113
WJul 8 · 15:25K. Kolodziej48691111113K. Kapik4311116872
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 27 · 13:45K. Kolodziej2.63121011342M. Jadczyk1.441012911113LSep 27 · 12:30K. Kolodziej1.6712880G. Adamiak2.101411113LSep 27 · 11:15K. Kolodziej2.20811111042T. Spanik1.61118512113WSep 27 · 10:00K. Petas1.80711891K. Kolodziej1.9111911113LSep 27 · 09:20K. Kolodziej1.8391390M. Miastowski1.831115113LSep 27 · 08:30K. Kolodziej1.73911911112G. Adamiak2.00113114133WSep 27 · 06:55K. Kolodziej2.501211710113M. Jadczyk1.50101111282WSep 27 · 05:40K. Kolodziej1.67111112113M. Miastowski2.10971491WSep 27 · 04:10K. Kolodziej1.831311113K. Petas1.8311820LSep 27 · 03:00K. Kolodziej2.251511951T. Spanik1.5717311113
K. Kapik10
WSep 28 · 08:30M. Rutkowski1.8767100K. Kapik1.831111123WSep 28 · 07:15K. Kapik1.8311123113G. Poliniewicz1.836101171WSep 28 · 06:00D. Kostal2.053540K. Kapik1.691111113LSep 28 · 04:50M. Sklensky1.371111113K. Kapik2.758660LSep 28 · 03:20J. Kuzmicz1.44121111113K. Kapik2.60148581LSep 25 · 14:35K. Kapik2.303670P. Klos1.521111113LSep 25 · 13:00K. Kapik1.7151011101D. Kosmal2.0011124123LSep 25 · 11:45K. Kapik2.45991161M. Nowalinski1.4911117113WSep 25 · 10:05K. Kapik1.80139119113G. Poliniewicz1.85111191182WSep 25 · 09:00K. Kapik1.951211123M. Malachowski1.75109100
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