TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartlomiej Mleczko vs Tomasz Pisarczyk 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118118114––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:34 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mleczko to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
911118118114––
H2H Bartlomiej Mleczko 11–2 Tomasz Pisarczyk Tomasz Pisarczyk has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:34What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Mleczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-2 in 13
Mleczko
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mleczko 1410 vs Pisarczyk 1322
Mleczko
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mleczko 20% vs Pisarczyk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mleczko 50% vs Pisarczyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mleczko -1 · Pisarczyk -3
Pisarczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMleczko 1.47 / Pisarczyk 2.45
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Mleczko)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13205351
Mleczko1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 104 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 72 of 92
Pisarczyk2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMleczko8wins
AwayPisarczyk2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMleczko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMleczko100%5 of 5
AwayPisarczyk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mleczko5Pisarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Mleczko7Pisarczyk3n = 10Mleczko took 7 of 10
S3Mleczko5Pisarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Mleczko4Pisarczyk2n = 6Mleczko took 4 of 6
S5Mleczko3Pisarczyk0n = 3Mleczko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMleczkoPisarczykM − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.133.0+5.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMleczkoPisarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 809 vs 146 / 36151.6%40.4%417 / 809 vs 146 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoMleczko 1.47/Pisarczyk 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 23 · 12:20B. Mleczko47711711113T. Pisarczyk3411211642
WMay 23 · 05:45B. Mleczko4111127113T. Pisarczyk378101181
LMay 16 · 12:20B. Mleczko2610790T. Pisarczyk341211113
WMay 16 · 07:35B. Mleczko44111138113T. Pisarczyk4496111172
WApr 26 · 05:00B. Mleczko43114116113T. Pisarczyk4261151192
WMar 8 · 14:10B. Mleczko4281211113T. Pisarczyk311110641
WMar 8 · 06:00B. Mleczko44111111113T. Pisarczyk28134561
WNov 28 · 15:40B. Mleczko331111113T. Pisarczyk236980
LNov 28 · 05:55B. Mleczko2811980T. Pisarczyk351311113
WSep 27 · 03:55B. Mleczko331111113T. Pisarczyk226880
B. Mleczko10
WSep 27 · 09:45G. Kesik1.8081611572B. Mleczko1.851114811113LSep 27 · 06:50B. Mleczko2.47121150A. Wos1.491413113WSep 27 · 05:35B. Mleczko1.90121112113D. Wasilewski1.801071461LSep 27 · 04:00B. Mleczko1.9063100K. Kufel1.751111123LSep 27 · 03:00B. Mleczko2.0571111562G. Kesik1.65116711113LSep 26 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.7531111113B. Mleczko1.95118981LSep 26 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.4211112113B. Mleczko2.60691141WSep 26 · 12:10B. Mleczko2.85381211113A. Wos1.35111110872WSep 26 · 10:30B. Mleczko1.5211168133T. Piotrowski2.3081411111WSep 26 · 09:45T. Filbrandt1.61119861B. Mleczko2.1951111113
T. Pisarczyk10
LSep 27 · 09:50T. Pisarczyk1.73751131A. Eliasz1.9811116113LSep 27 · 07:15T. Pisarczyk2.8511712732G. Kesik1.355111011113LSep 27 · 06:00A. Wos1.2511115113T. Pisarczyk3.55541111LSep 27 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.307111111113T. Pisarczyk3.0511813692WSep 27 · 03:20K. Kufel—11711882T. Pisarczyk—511711113LSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123
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