TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yaroslav Stepanchuk vs Serhii Khandetskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116114––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Stepanchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Stepanchuk above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 48 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Yaroslav Stepanchuk at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Stepanchuk 47–33 Serhii Khandetskyi Serhii Khandetskyi has won 33 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:21What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stepanchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-33 in 80
Stepanchuk
Correct
gap of 14 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stepanchuk 1495 vs Khandetskyi 1540
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stepanchuk 20% vs Khandetskyi 40%
Khandetskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stepanchuk 40% vs Khandetskyi 70%
Khandetskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stepanchuk -4 · Khandetskyi +1
Stepanchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stepanchuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepanchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStepanchuk 1.73 / Khandetskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stepanchuk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13202167
Stepanchuk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 24)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 81 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it66% 53 of 80
Khandetskyi2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 76 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStepanchuk7wins
AwayKhandetskyi3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStepanchuk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStepanchuk100%3 of 3
AwayKhandetskyi42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stepanchuk3Khandetskyi7n = 10Khandetskyi took 7 of 10
S2Stepanchuk6Khandetskyi4n = 10Stepanchuk took 6 of 10
S3Stepanchuk8Khandetskyi2n = 10Stepanchuk took 8 of 10
S4Stepanchuk4Khandetskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Stepanchuk3Khandetskyi1n = 4Stepanchuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStepanchukKhandetskyiS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.037.7+4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStepanchukKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 618 vs 399 / 80148.1%49.8%297 / 618 vs 399 / 801Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepanchukStepanchuk 1.73/Khandetskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stepanchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stepanchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 03:25Y. Stepanchuk4597111262S. Khandetskyi481111510113
WSep 21 · 23:05Y. Stepanchuk331111113S. Khandetskyi217860
WSep 1 · 23:35Y. Stepanchuk49129116113S. Khandetskyi41101161132
WAug 25 · 15:25Y. Stepanchuk4051311113S. Khandetskyi371111961
WAug 18 · 16:55Y. Stepanchuk541011148113S. Khandetskyi43126121122
LAug 11 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk2376100S. Khandetskyi341111123
LJul 29 · 16:25Y. Stepanchuk353913101S. Khandetskyi45111111123
WJul 14 · 23:35Y. Stepanchuk43111110113S. Khandetskyi27741241
WJul 3 · 01:25Y. Stepanchuk43101111113S. Khandetskyi33125791
WJun 29 · 16:25Y. Stepanchuk558111312113S. Khandetskyi48115111472
Y. Stepanchuk10
LSep 24 · 03:25S. Khandetskyi2.101111510113Y. Stepanchuk1.6797111262LSep 24 · 02:25Y. Stepanchuk3.25117771D. Derevynskyi1.3371111113LSep 24 · 01:25Y. Stepanchuk6.50116581K. Hrynenko1.1081111113LSep 23 · 23:55Y. Stepanchuk2.7511851112S. Pitsyk1.40611119113WSep 23 · 21:55Y. Stepanchuk1.8391111113H. Kulishov1.83116841LSep 22 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.101211113Y. Stepanchuk6.5010980LSep 22 · 02:35D. Kim1.8012119113Y. Stepanchuk1.911071191WSep 22 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.918630Y. Stepanchuk1.801111113WSep 21 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi2.007860Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113WSep 21 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.739280Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 27 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.91911661S. Khandetskyi1.8011711113WSep 24 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi2.5016611113D. Derevynskyi1.501411971LSep 24 · 18:25O. Melashenko2.00111011113S. Khandetskyi1.73612931LSep 24 · 16:25Y. Sokoltsov1.91111011113S. Khandetskyi1.80812911LSep 24 · 15:25S. Khandetskyi1.836560H. Kulishov1.831111113WSep 24 · 14:25V. Kobets1.83107111382S. Khandetskyi1.831211811113WSep 24 · 03:25S. Khandetskyi2.101111510113Y. Stepanchuk1.6797111262WSep 24 · 01:55S. Khandetskyi1.801112113S. Pitsyk1.9161020WSep 24 · 00:25S. Khandetskyi2.50149117113D. Derevynskyi1.50121141152LSep 21 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi2.007860Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Stepanchuk
S. Khandetskyi
Sep 28 · 00:35S. Khandetskyi1.67S. Pitsyk2.10—Sep 28 · 00:35S. Khandetskyi2.20D. Kim1.61—Sep 28 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi1.40A. Peretiatko2.75—Sep 28 · 04:05S. Khandetskyi1.83H. Kulishov1.83—Sep 28 · 14:25S. Khandetskyi1.83V. Kobets1.83—Sep 28 · 15:25S. Khandetskyi2.50K. Hrynenko1.50—Sep 28 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi1.80Y. Sokoltsov1.91—Sep 28 · 18:25S. Khandetskyi1.61D. Rehotun2.20—Sep 28 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi1.40A. Peretiatko2.75—
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