TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Gumulinski vs Karol Jablonski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113118––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:05 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Karol Jablonski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 49 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 61.4%
49 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 2–1 Karol Jablonski Karol Jablonski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Jablonski beat Gumulinski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1453 vs Jablonski 1430
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 40% vs Jablonski 80%
Jablonski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 50% vs Jablonski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski -3 · Jablonski +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.61 / Jablonski 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Gumulinski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13192584
Gumulinski1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 365 of 592
Up 2–0, closes it94% 163 of 173
Up 1–0, closes it76% 244 of 320
Jablonski2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 37 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back18% 5 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGumulinski2wins
AwayJablonski1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderGumulinski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski1Jablonski2n = 3Jablonski took 2 of 3
S2Gumulinski1Jablonski2n = 3Jablonski took 2 of 3
S3Gumulinski2Jablonski1n = 3Gumulinski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricGumulinskiJablonskiG − JBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.335.0+3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1034 / 1825 vs 83 / 17756.7%46.9%1034 / 1825 vs 83 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.61/Jablonski 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 25 · 08:35P. Gumulinski3189140K. Jablonski381111163
WApr 16 · 13:30P. Gumulinski46761111113K. Jablonski3811113762
WApr 16 · 07:30P. Gumulinski381311143K. Jablonski29116120
P. Gumulinski10
LSep 25 · 13:05Z. Sobkow2.251111143P. Gumulinski1.5768120LSep 25 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.5710860M. Paszkiewicz2.251211113LSep 25 · 09:50S. Juzek3.401111116113P. Gumulinski1.3061351152LSep 25 · 08:35P. Gumulinski1.5389140K. Jablonski2.381111163WSep 25 · 06:55P. Gumulinski1.6181112113Z. Sobkow2.201111071WSep 25 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.441111713113S. Juzek2.6388111582LSep 25 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.73113721R. Idaczyk2.0091111113LSep 25 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.61614100M. Paszkiewicz2.201116123WSep 24 · 16:40S. Juzek2.53911111482P. Gumulinski1.461171312113WSep 24 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk3.4535111162P. Gumulinski1.25111159113
K. Jablonski10
WSep 25 · 11:00S. Juzek2.6359140K. Jablonski1.441111163WSep 25 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3891130K. Jablonski1.531113113WSep 25 · 08:35P. Gumulinski1.5389140K. Jablonski2.381111163WSep 25 · 07:20K. Jablonski1.5713312113M. Paszkiewicz2.2511111081LSep 25 · 06:05Z. Sobkow2.10119116113K. Jablonski1.6791191172LSep 25 · 04:55S. Juzek2.631161011113K. Jablonski1.4491112562WSep 25 · 03:25R. Idaczyk2.105930K. Jablonski1.671111113LSep 22 · 17:05J. Pruszkowski1.501311123K. Jablonski2.40116100LSep 22 · 15:55K. Jablonski1.75116871O. Vincenec1.9541111113LSep 22 · 14:45K. Slawinski1.6011118113K. Jablonski2.15891191
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