TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Gumulinski vs Michal Paszkiewicz 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811611––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:42 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Michal Paszkiewicz below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 58 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 59.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 19–12 Michal Paszkiewicz Michal Paszkiewicz has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gumulinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-12 in 31
Gumulinski
Wrong
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1453 vs Paszkiewicz 1413
Gumulinski
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 40% vs Paszkiewicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 60% vs Paszkiewicz 40%
Gumulinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski -2 · Paszkiewicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.57 / Paszkiewicz 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Gumulinski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13188845
Gumulinski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 365 of 592
Up 2–0, closes it94% 163 of 173
Up 1–0, closes it76% 244 of 320
Paszkiewicz2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 81 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back20% 22 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGumulinski4wins
AwayPaszkiewicz6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGumulinski60%3 of 5
AwayPaszkiewicz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski5Paszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Gumulinski4Paszkiewicz6n = 10Paszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Gumulinski5Paszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Gumulinski1Paszkiewicz5n = 6Paszkiewicz took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGumulinskiPaszkiewiczG − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.236.4−2.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime1034 / 1825 vs 428 / 79956.7%53.6%1034 / 1825 vs 428 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.57/Paszkiewicz 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 10:35P. Gumulinski2410860M. Paszkiewicz341211113
LSep 25 · 03:00P. Gumulinski30614100M. Paszkiewicz391116123
LAug 24 · 00:45P. Gumulinski391112791M. Paszkiewicz4481411113
WAug 23 · 22:20P. Gumulinski43111110113M. Paszkiewicz36891271
WAug 18 · 03:30P. Gumulinski46811133113M. Paszkiewicz46114111192
LAug 17 · 21:30P. Gumulinski31118661M. Paszkiewicz4291111113
LAug 5 · 08:00P. Gumulinski33991231M. Paszkiewicz43111110113
WMay 17 · 03:10P. Gumulinski331111113M. Paszkiewicz237790
WMay 9 · 01:30P. Gumulinski331111113M. Paszkiewicz184770
LMay 8 · 19:30P. Gumulinski30551191M. Paszkiewicz3911116113
P. Gumulinski10
LSep 25 · 09:50S. Juzek3.401111116113P. Gumulinski1.3061351152LSep 25 · 08:35P. Gumulinski1.5389140K. Jablonski2.381111163WSep 25 · 06:55P. Gumulinski1.6181112113Z. Sobkow2.201111071WSep 25 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.441111713113S. Juzek2.6388111582LSep 25 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.73113721R. Idaczyk2.0091111113LSep 25 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.61614100M. Paszkiewicz2.201116123WSep 24 · 16:40S. Juzek2.53911111482P. Gumulinski1.461171312113WSep 24 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk3.4535111162P. Gumulinski1.25111159113WSep 24 · 13:55W. Glanowski2.7012891152P. Gumulinski1.401011114113WSep 24 · 13:10P. Kurek3.00115861P. Gumulinski1.3251111113
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 25 · 11:25R. Idaczyk1.801181111113M. Paszkiewicz1.9181151372LSep 25 · 09:00Z. Sobkow1.7371114113M. Paszkiewicz2.001161291WSep 25 · 08:10S. Juzek2.2010860M. Paszkiewicz1.611211113LSep 25 · 07:20K. Jablonski1.5713312113M. Paszkiewicz2.2511111081LSep 25 · 05:15R. Idaczyk1.801211113M. Paszkiewicz1.9110790WSep 25 · 04:30Z. Sobkow1.7391170M. Paszkiewicz2.001113113WSep 25 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.61614100M. Paszkiewicz2.201116123WSep 23 · 08:20M. Sikon2.0010590M. Paszkiewicz1.731211113LSep 23 · 07:35M. Lebek1.501111113M. Paszkiewicz2.358680LSep 23 · 05:35R. Idaczyk1.901111113M. Paszkiewicz1.768550
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