TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Matus Zelinka vs Vojtech Grubr 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911117811911
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMatus Zelinka above · Vojtech Grubr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11
97 points played in total.
H2H Matus Zelinka 8–4 Vojtech Grubr Vojtech Grubr has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Grubr beat Zelinka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zelinka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grubr form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelinka 1.53 / Grubr 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zelinka)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13191809
Zelinka1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 68 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Grubr2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 54 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back29% 21 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelinka7wins
AwayGrubr3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZelinka leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelinka75%3 of 4
AwayGrubr33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelinka4Grubr6n = 10Grubr took 6 of 10
S2Zelinka6Grubr4n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S3Zelinka8Grubr2n = 10Zelinka took 8 of 10
S4Zelinka5Grubr2n = 7Zelinka took 5 of 7
S5Zelinka3Grubr2n = 5Zelinka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZelinkaGrubrZ − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.439.2+4.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelinkaGrubrBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 394 vs 236 / 46953.6%50.3%211 / 394 vs 236 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaZelinka 1.53/Grubr 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grubr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 17:15M. Zelinka48611115152V. Grubr48113611173
WSep 8 · 05:15M. Zelinka331111113V. Grubr237970
WJul 27 · 20:38M. Zelinka331111113V. Grubr236890
WJul 27 · 18:00M. Zelinka44711411113V. Grubr4111811562
LMay 6 · 09:15M. Zelinka5810131111132V. Grubr52121573153
LApr 15 · 20:49M. Zelinka34156491V. Grubr46131111113
WApr 15 · 18:15M. Zelinka4681111163V. Grubr371157141
WMar 19 · 09:58M. Zelinka50961111133V. Grubr46111185112
WMar 19 · 08:45M. Zelinka5510121111113V. Grubr5212148992
WMar 10 · 19:15M. Zelinka331111113V. Grubr249780
M. Zelinka10
WSep 24 · 19:45L. Adam2.2581151192M. Zelinka1.57118113113LSep 24 · 18:45R. Pisa2.25111167113M. Zelinka1.5774111192LSep 24 · 17:15V. Grubr2.63113611173M. Zelinka1.44611115152WSep 23 · 08:43L. Dobias1.83111291252M. Zelinka1.835141110113WSep 23 · 07:15V. Burylov1.8311380M. Zelinka1.831311113WSep 23 · 06:45M. Zelinka1.801311713113M. Makara1.91159111172LSep 23 · 05:45M. Zelinka1.91911891L. Dobias1.8011311113LSep 22 · 08:49M. Zelinka2.388890M. Bouska1.531111113WSep 22 · 07:45L. Dobias1.8011119101M. Zelinka1.9113611123LSep 22 · 06:45V. Burylov1.80127911113M. Zelinka1.91101111882
V. Grubr10
LSep 24 · 19:15V. Grubr2.108111141R. Pisa1.6711138113LSep 24 · 18:15V. Grubr2.251010111392L. Adam1.571212611113WSep 24 · 17:15V. Grubr2.63113611173M. Zelinka1.44611115152LSep 22 · 20:24J. Chalupa1.5391211123V. Grubr2.3811106101LSep 22 · 19:15V. Grubr2.38114781J. Chalupa1.5371111113WSep 22 · 18:15V. Grubr1.731111113A. Radkovsky2.009960WSep 22 · 17:15V. Grubr2.0071111113V. Burylov1.73117581LSep 15 · 20:43S. Rejent1.831111123V. Grubr1.8385100WSep 15 · 19:15J. Dolezal2.2011371192V. Grubr1.61711118113WSep 15 · 18:45V. Grubr2.5012131012113J. Sr1.501411121082
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