TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Rudomina vs Radoslaw Malinowski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11913111012811119
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Rudomina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Rudomina above · Radoslaw Malinowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 105 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Kamil Rudomina at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Rudomina 5–10 Radoslaw Malinowski Kamil Rudomina has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rudomina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Malinowski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rudomina 1514 vs Malinowski 1406
Rudomina
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rudomina 40% vs Malinowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rudomina 50% vs Malinowski 20%
Rudomina
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rudomina +1 · Malinowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rudomina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rudomina form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRudomina 1.73 / Malinowski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rudomina)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13189741
Rudomina1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 203 of 338
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it77% 146 of 190
Malinowski2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 32 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRudomina3wins
AwayMalinowski7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMalinowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRudomina50%2 of 4
AwayMalinowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rudomina4Malinowski6n = 10Malinowski took 6 of 10
S2Rudomina5Malinowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Rudomina5Malinowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Rudomina5Malinowski3n = 8Rudomina took 5 of 8
S5Rudomina0Malinowski4n = 4Malinowski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRudominaMalinowskiR − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.138.7−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRudominaMalinowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime967 / 2079 vs 230 / 48146.5%47.8%967 / 2079 vs 230 / 481Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RudominaRudomina 1.73/Malinowski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rudomina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 13:50K. Rudomina28581141R. Malinowski4211119113
WSep 12 · 08:30K. Rudomina331111113R. Malinowski257990
LMay 30 · 06:15K. Rudomina227690R. Malinowski331111113
LMay 30 · 03:45K. Rudomina4313651182R. Malinowski511111117113
LApr 4 · 03:05K. Rudomina34791171R. Malinowski3911116113
LFeb 10 · 07:30K. Rudomina4581111872R. Malinowski42114511113
WNov 21 · 19:30K. Rudomina3611113113R. Malinowski26551151
LOct 2 · 04:30K. Rudomina4551281192R. Malinowski521110119113
WAug 13 · 00:10K. Rudomina4291111113R. Malinowski29115491
LAug 12 · 21:45K. Rudomina4311761182R. Malinowski48611119113
K. Rudomina10
WSep 25 · 17:20K. Rudomina1.83711117113B. Sulkowski1.8311881162LSep 25 · 16:05K. Rudomina2.634850K. Staszczyk1.441111113LSep 24 · 23:20B. Sulkowski1.6111117113K. Rudomina2.20691171WSep 24 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.443111111112K. Rudomina2.63112913133LSep 24 · 22:10K. Rudomina2.1010111051D. Solilo1.6712812113WSep 24 · 21:00K. Klocek2.107960K. Rudomina1.671111113WSep 24 · 20:30K. Rudomina1.801111113B. Sulkowski1.918790WSep 24 · 18:50K. Rudomina2.00113811113J. Zochniak1.7331111872LSep 24 · 17:40K. Rudomina2.3878111182D. Solilo1.53111177113LSep 24 · 16:05K. Rudomina1.8391160K. Klocek1.831113113
R. Malinowski10
LSep 25 · 19:40B. Sulkowski1.611112123R. Malinowski2.20810100WSep 25 · 18:05R. Malinowski1.6791111113A. Mugowski2.10116581LSep 25 · 16:55R. Malinowski3.25681431T. Filbrandt1.33111112113WSep 12 · 13:50K. Rudomina1.80581141R. Malinowski1.8611119113LSep 12 · 13:00D. Solilo1.5011119113R. Malinowski2.30841191LSep 12 · 12:10R. Malinowski4.206870G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 10:30R. Malinowski2.60117791M. Kolek1.4261111113LSep 12 · 09:45G. Kesik1.90111011113R. Malinowski1.80612761LSep 12 · 08:30K. Rudomina1.801111113R. Malinowski1.867990LSep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski4.205990G. Poliniewicz1.161111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Rudomina
Sep 25 · 21:45K. Rudomina1.67A. Mugowski2.10—Sep 25 · 22:05K. Rudomina2.50K. Staszczyk1.50—Sep 25 · 23:15K. Rudomina1.73R. Malinowski2.00—Sep 25 · 23:35K. Rudomina1.53J. Wozniak2.38—Sep 26 · 00:20K. Rudomina1.67A. Mugowski2.10—Sep 26 · 21:55K. Rudomina—A. Mugowski——Sep 26 · 22:35K. Rudomina—D. Kotwica——Sep 26 · 23:45K. Rudomina—D. Poloszczanski——Sep 27 · 00:35K. Rudomina—J. Glanowski——
R. Malinowski
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