TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Mauro Scharrer vs Damian Zech 1-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 24Finished
Mauro Scharrer
Home
1.07
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811711811––
Damian Zech
Away
7.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 89.1% is still 89.1%
Graded at full timeMauro Scharrer to win
89.1%
89.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMauro Scharrer above · Damian Zech below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mauro Scharrer at 89.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Mauro Scharrer 7–1 Damian Zech Damian Zech has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Scharrer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Scharrer
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Scharrer 1668 vs Zech 1448
Scharrer
Wrong
both rated, 220 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Scharrer 100% vs Zech 40%
Scharrer
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Scharrer 60% vs Zech 40%
Scharrer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Scharrer +6 · Zech +2
Scharrer
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Scharrer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zech form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsScharrer 1.07 / Zech 7.50
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Scharrer)+1.6pp
Challenger Series TT · #13185676
Scharrer1.07
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 16 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Zech7.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog21% won 17 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeScharrer7wins
AwayZech1wins
3 of 8 to a deciderScharrer leads 7–1, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeScharrer100%4 of 4
AwayZech33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Scharrer4Zech3n = 7Scharrer took 4 of 7
S2Scharrer5Zech2n = 7Scharrer took 5 of 7
S3Scharrer5Zech2n = 7Scharrer took 5 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricScharrerZechS − ZBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.329.3+8.0per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricScharrerZechBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 62 vs 60 / 21453.2%28%33 / 62 vs 60 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.932.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ScharrerScharrer 1.07/Zech 7.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
89.1%
Scharrer · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zech won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 17 · 14:30M. Scharrer351311113D. Zech2411490
WJun 19 · 09:30M. Scharrer331111113D. Zech258980
WMay 15 · 10:40M. Scharrer331111113D. Zech165470
WMay 14 · 13:30M. Scharrer5310111011113D. Zech4812912782
WApr 30 · 16:30M. Scharrer331111113D. Zech94410
LOct 2 · 11:00M. Scharrer2571080D. Zech341112113
WJun 5 · 14:30M. Scharrer491061111113D. Zech4912119982
M. Scharrer10
WSep 24 · 08:30M. Scharrer2.25111285123D. Lindso1.549101111102WSep 24 · 06:30M. Scharrer—1111113N. Kizakisz—5580WSep 18 · 07:00K. Zimmermann2.63111113882M. Scharrer1.446131111113WSep 17 · 17:30J. Loffler—11119752M. Scharrer—581111113WSep 17 · 14:30D. Zech7.0011490M. Scharrer1.081311113WSep 17 · 13:00J. Harencak6.50951291M. Scharrer1.10111110113LSep 17 · 11:00E. Mendes1.5311611113M. Scharrer2.38811651LSep 17 · 10:00L. Qiu1.531211113M. Scharrer2.3810770LSep 17 · 06:30D. Rinderer1.611111123M. Scharrer2.2047100LAug 20 · 15:40C. Cozmolici4.3311115123M. Scharrer1.206911101
D. Zech10
WSep 24 · 09:00D. Zech4.3312711113O. Naplokov1.201011381WSep 24 · 07:30D. Zech2.63711119123L. Kraus1.44119711102LSep 18 · 07:30D. Zech2.754640J. Loffler1.371111113LSep 17 · 16:30D. Zech6.00101090L. Qiu1.111212113LSep 17 · 14:30D. Zech7.0011490M. Scharrer1.081311113WSep 17 · 12:30E. Mendes1.1055111192D. Zech6.50111169113LSep 17 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.051111113D. Zech8.505950LSep 17 · 09:00D. Zech2.7511871172K. Zimmermann1.40911118113LSep 17 · 07:30D. Zech1.80814111112J. Harencak1.911112119133WSep 11 · 07:30D. Zech1.20101115113S. Amann4.331231341
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