TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Poliniewicz vs Artur Daniel 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911811113118
Artur Daniel
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 69.7% is still 69.7%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
69.7%
69.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
119911811113118
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 16–44 Artur Daniel Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 16 of their 60 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Daniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-44 in 60
Daniel
Wrong
gap of 28 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1693 vs Daniel 1735
Daniel
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 60% vs Daniel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 60% vs Daniel 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz +1 · Daniel +3
Daniel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 2.15 / Daniel 1.60
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Daniel)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13183248
Poliniewicz2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 128 of 353
Down 0–1, comes back19% 39 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 122
Daniel1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 180 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it94% 88 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it76% 138 of 182
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoliniewicz5wins
AwayDaniel5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz100%5 of 5
AwayDaniel100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz5Daniel5n = 10split evenly
S2Poliniewicz4Daniel6n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S3Poliniewicz2Daniel8n = 10Daniel took 8 of 10
S4Poliniewicz5Daniel2n = 7Poliniewicz took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczDanielP − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.036.3−2.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczDanielBasisWin rate · lifetime1220 / 2086 vs 761 / 143458.5%53.1%1220 / 2086 vs 761 / 1434Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielPoliniewicz 2.15/Daniel 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz4211119113A. Daniel30561181
LSep 19 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz371114841A. Daniel47131211113
WSep 8 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz501151211113A. Daniel4141114842
LSep 4 · 13:00G. Poliniewicz31611591A. Daniel4011711113
LSep 3 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz145180A. Daniel331111113
WAug 26 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz3911116113A. Daniel36791191
WAug 19 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz3812411113A. Daniel321011741
WAug 13 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz3811412113A. Daniel378111081
LAug 12 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz258890A. Daniel331111113
LAug 5 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2697100A. Daniel341111123
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 23 · 13:00J. Kwapis2.159340G. Poliniewicz1.611111113WSep 23 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz2.15141199113D. Prokopcov1.60125111192LSep 23 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.6511114113G. Poliniewicz1.99871191WSep 23 · 08:30K. Strowski1.6816611482G. Poliniewicz2.081411911113WSep 23 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz2.10151011113D. Prokopcov1.671312431LSep 23 · 06:00J. Kwapis1.90101111113G. Poliniewicz1.76129591LSep 23 · 04:50K. Wloczko1.361011711113G. Poliniewicz2.8512911542LSep 23 · 03:20K. Kapik1.73911811113G. Poliniewicz2.0011811992WSep 21 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.71111011173K. Wisniewski2.003128151WSep 21 · 12:35M. Rutkowski1.90119111172G. Poliniewicz1.80131198113
A. Daniel10
WSep 23 · 14:35J. Kwapis2.183101171A. Daniel1.4911124113LSep 23 · 13:25A. Daniel1.70911961D. Prokopcov1.9511911113WSep 23 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.6861211842A. Daniel2.071110811113WSep 23 · 09:20K. Wisniewski2.355670A. Daniel1.501111113WSep 19 · 13:45A. Daniel2.38991111113M. Jadczyk1.5311117892LSep 19 · 12:30A. Daniel2.6371191132D. Wederlich1.44115113113LSep 19 · 11:15A. Daniel2.0011780J. Stecyszyn1.731311113WSep 19 · 10:00D. Kostal2.20118191A. Daniel1.5751111113LSep 19 · 09:20A. Daniel1.50561181G. Poliniewicz2.5011119113WSep 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.503760A. Daniel2.501111113
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