TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dominik Solilo vs Krzysztof Kapik 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Dominik Solilo
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1168111157111210
Krzysztof Kapik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDominik Solilo above · Krzysztof Kapik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 92 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Krzysztof Kapik at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Solilo 0–4 Krzysztof Kapik Dominik Solilo has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:31What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Kapik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1580 vs Kapik 1695
Kapik
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 80% vs Kapik 40%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 60% vs Kapik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo +1 · Kapik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kapik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 1.80 / Kapik 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kapik)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13182441
Solilo1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 147 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it91% 78 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it77% 108 of 140
Kapik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 175 of 388
Down 0–1, comes back25% 53 of 210
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSolilo0wins
AwayKapik4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKapik leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolilon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKapik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solilo1Kapik3n = 4Kapik took 3 of 4
S2Solilo1Kapik3n = 4Kapik took 3 of 4
S3Solilo1Kapik3n = 4Kapik took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricSoliloKapikS − KBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match35.043.2−8.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 539 vs 1119 / 209948.4%53.3%261 / 539 vs 1119 / 2099Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikSolilo 1.80/Kapik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 17 · 12:35D. Solilo331310100K. Kapik391512123
LAug 22 · 07:40D. Solilo53111787102K. Kapik589151111123
LApr 6 · 16:20D. Solilo33671281K. Kapik43111110113
LJan 2 · 11:40D. Solilo214890K. Kapik331111113
D. Solilo10
WSep 23 · 21:25D. Solilo1.3611116113K. Klocek3.00541181LSep 23 · 20:30D. Solilo2.504450K. Staszczyk1.501111113WSep 23 · 18:50D. Solilo1.441114123K. Klocek2.63912100WSep 23 · 17:40D. Solilo1.61111111113M. Minda2.20813661WSep 23 · 16:05D. Solilo2.509111410113A. Daniel1.50116121262LSep 23 · 15:00D. Solilo1.3611211992B. Sulkowski3.00711811113WSep 22 · 14:20J. Zochniak1.858950D. Solilo1.851111113LSep 22 · 13:30B. Czerwinski2.4091111113D. Solilo1.50117361WSep 22 · 11:25B. Sulkowski1.5011117992D. Solilo2.35451111113LSep 22 · 10:35A. Sobel1.958101115113D. Solilo1.74111261352
K. Kapik10
LSep 23 · 22:35K. Kapik2.003460K. Staszczyk1.731111113LSep 23 · 07:40K. Kapik1.687780J. Kwapis2.051111113WSep 23 · 06:25K. Kapik3.4031211113K. Wloczko1.251110961LSep 23 · 05:15K. Kapik1.701711861D. Prokopcov1.9519511113LSep 23 · 04:00K. Strowski1.41116115113K. Kapik2.6091181142WSep 23 · 03:20K. Kapik1.73911811113G. Poliniewicz2.0011811992LSep 21 · 13:50M. Rutkowski1.8011119113K. Kapik1.85861191WSep 21 · 13:00M. Sklensky1.416640K. Kapik2.601111113WSep 21 · 12:10K. Kapik2.0011119113P. Jendrzejewski1.72771171LSep 21 · 10:30K. Kapik1.751191271K. Wisniewski1.9061114113
Upcoming Matches
D. Solilo
Sep 23 · 23:20D. Solilo2.38K. Staszczyk1.53—Sep 24 · 24:10D. Solilo1.53K. Rudomina2.38—Sep 24 · 15:45D. Solilo—J. Zochniak——Sep 24 · 16:55D. Solilo—B. Sulkowski——Sep 24 · 17:40D. Solilo—K. Rudomina——Sep 24 · 18:30D. Solilo—K. Klocek——Sep 24 · 20:05D. Solilo—M. Minda——Sep 24 · 21:25D. Solilo—B. Sulkowski——Sep 24 · 22:10D. Solilo—K. Rudomina——Sep 24 · 22:55D. Solilo—K. Klocek——
K. Kapik
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