TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Miroslav Sklensky
Home
1.41
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611411––––
Krzysztof Kapik
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:24 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sklensky to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
611611411––––
H2H Miroslav Sklensky 24–11 Krzysztof Kapik Krzysztof Kapik has won 11 of their 35 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Sklensky beat Kapik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Sklensky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-11 in 35
Sklensky
Wrong
gap of 13 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sklensky 1796 vs Kapik 1698
Sklensky
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sklensky 40% vs Kapik 60%
Kapik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sklensky 60% vs Kapik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sklensky -3 · Kapik +1
Sklensky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Sklensky) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSklensky 1.41 / Kapik 2.60
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Sklensky)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13167441
Sklensky1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 220 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it97% 119 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it83% 161 of 193
Kapik2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 180 of 393
Down 0–1, comes back26% 54 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSklensky9wins
AwayKapik1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSklensky leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSklensky87.5%7 of 8
AwayKapikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sklensky8Kapik2n = 10Sklensky took 8 of 10
S2Sklensky9Kapik1n = 10Sklensky took 9 of 10
S3Sklensky9Kapik1n = 10Sklensky took 9 of 10
S4Sklensky3Kapik0n = 3Sklensky took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSklenskyKapikS − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.323.2+12.1per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSklenskyKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime679 / 1137 vs 1129 / 211959.7%53.3%679 / 1137 vs 1129 / 2119Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SklenskySklensky 1.41/Kapik 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.2%
Sklensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 06:00M. Sklensky351111133K. Kapik2449110
WSep 18 · 07:15M. Sklensky331111113K. Kapik152670
WSep 15 · 05:35M. Sklensky3851111113K. Kapik29115761
LAug 31 · 10:30M. Sklensky4211851172K. Kapik45311119113
WAug 11 · 15:00M. Sklensky331111113K. Kapik179440
WJul 28 · 10:55M. Sklensky331111113K. Kapik147250
WJul 27 · 18:30M. Sklensky4061211113K. Kapik341110761
WJul 27 · 09:20M. Sklensky331111113K. Kapik164390
WJul 21 · 18:30M. Sklensky331111113K. Kapik208480
WJul 21 · 14:35M. Sklensky331111113K. Kapik189720
M. Sklensky10
LSep 21 · 11:45M. Sklensky1.41812111282G. Poliniewicz2.601110614113LSep 21 · 10:05M. Sklensky1.5474131192M. Rutkowski2.351111117113LSep 21 · 09:00M. Sklensky1.40551191K. Wisniewski2.6511113113WSep 21 · 07:40K. Wloczko1.901111991M. Sklensky1.8013811113WSep 21 · 06:50M. Rutkowski2.403260M. Sklensky1.501111113WSep 21 · 06:00M. Sklensky1.411111133K. Kapik2.6049110WSep 21 · 04:25M. Sklensky1.351511113K. Wisniewski2.9513480WSep 21 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski2.35712641M. Sklensky1.52111011113LSep 18 · 13:50M. Sklensky1.37101191192K. Wisniewski2.80124118113WSep 18 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.651111133M. Rutkowski2.1088110
K. Kapik10
WSep 21 · 12:10K. Kapik2.0011119113P. Jendrzejewski1.72771171LSep 21 · 10:30K. Kapik1.751191271K. Wisniewski1.9061114113WSep 21 · 09:45G. Poliniewicz1.86131711162K. Kapik1.831119119113WSep 21 · 08:30M. Rutkowski1.85651151K. Kapik1.8011118113LSep 21 · 07:15K. Kapik1.719950K. Wisniewski2.001111113LSep 21 · 06:00M. Sklensky1.411111133K. Kapik2.6049110WSep 21 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.85811981K. Kapik1.8011711113WSep 21 · 03:20K. Wloczko1.4191111642K. Kapik2.60117611113WSep 18 · 08:05J. Stecyszyn1.87117891K. Kapik1.8361111113LSep 18 · 07:15M. Sklensky1.541111113K. Kapik2.252670
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