TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pavel Cibik vs Tomas Barsa 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Pavel Cibik
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111210811119117
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Barsa to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Cibik above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 99 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Barsa at 63.8%
99 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Cibik 1–5 Tomas Barsa Pavel Cibik has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:24What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Barsa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Barsa
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cibik 1535 vs Barsa 1515
Cibik
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cibik 60% vs Barsa 40%
Cibik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cibik 70% vs Barsa 40%
Cibik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cibik +3 · Barsa -2
Cibik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Barsa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barsa form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCibik 2.50 / Barsa 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Barsa)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13176757
Cibik2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 66 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back27% 22 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Barsa1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 16)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 64 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it68% 43 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeCibik1wins
AwayBarsa5wins
2 of 6 to a deciderBarsa leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCibik0%0 of 3
AwayBarsa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cibik3Barsa3n = 6split evenly
S2Cibik2Barsa4n = 6Barsa took 4 of 6
S3Cibik2Barsa4n = 6Barsa took 4 of 6
S4Cibik1Barsa5n = 6Barsa took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away467%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricCibikBarsaC − BBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.044.2−5.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCibikBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 681 vs 97 / 17446.3%55.8%315 / 681 vs 97 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaCibik 2.50/Barsa 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cibik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 16 · 19:50P. Cibik4310121291T. Barsa47121014113
LAug 11 · 19:20P. Cibik47111211942T. Barsa47814311113
LJul 17 · 19:20P. Cibik30113971T. Barsa4181111113
LMay 1 · 18:50P. Cibik34881171T. Barsa4111118113
WApr 24 · 19:20P. Cibik45211911123T. Barsa48117119102
LApr 1 · 19:25P. Cibik351110681T. Barsa4171211113
P. Cibik10
WSep 20 · 21:55T. Jr1.271110771P. Cibik3.3081211113WSep 20 · 20:20L. Vich2.5091111882P. Cibik1.50118611113WSep 20 · 19:50Z. Vyskocil1.67991151P. Cibik2.1011118113LSep 20 · 18:50P. Cibik3.401196101T. Jr1.3081111123LSep 18 · 17:54R. Zeman2.20119311113P. Cibik1.6191111792WSep 18 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.63413941P. Cibik1.44111111113WSep 18 · 15:50M. Nemec2.385790P. Cibik1.531111113LSep 18 · 14:50P. Cibik1.44611951R. Zeman2.6311911113WSep 16 · 21:23P. Cibik1.7211111113S. Matousch2.00851171WSep 16 · 20:20S. Matousch1.8310111081P. Cibik1.8312512113
T. Barsa10
LSep 22 · 19:20L. Vich2.38711611113T. Barsa1.5311511372LSep 16 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil2.2012116113T. Barsa1.601081181LSep 16 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil2.25811611113T. Barsa1.5711911982WSep 16 · 19:50T. Barsa1.50121014113P. Cibik2.5010121291WSep 16 · 18:20S. Matousch2.7513137462T. Barsa1.4011111111113LSep 10 · 22:05T. Barsa1.73105111232Z. Vyskocil2.001211310113WSep 10 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.38127111162T. Barsa1.53141154113LSep 10 · 20:25T. Barsa1.57211151M. Juhasz2.2511611113LSep 10 · 18:55T. Jr2.10611211113T. Barsa1.6711711382LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113
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