TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13141798
Played Sep 17Finished
Mizuki Oikawa
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114811119911116
Deni Kozul
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeDeni Kozul to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMizuki Oikawa above · Deni Kozul below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-6
Point 90 set 5, 10-6 — our read held Deni Kozul at 64.8%
90 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:25What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Oikawa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Oikawa 20% vs Kozul 80%
Kozul
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oikawa 60% vs Kozul 80%
Kozul
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oikawa -1 · Kozul -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oikawa) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kozul form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOikawa 1.73 / Kozul 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oikawa)+0.3pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13141798
Oikawa1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kozul2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOikawaKozulBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 8 / 1060%80%6 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.82.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OikawaOikawa 1.73/Kozul 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Oikawa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Oikawa won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Oikawa10
LSep 16 · 13:15K. Stumper2.631111133M. Oikawa1.4424110WSep 15 · 12:04B. Akimali10.008540M. Oikawa1.031111113LSep 3 · 05:00K. Gerassimenko1.671111113M. Oikawa2.107680LJun 19 · 17:10P. Xiang—1114113M. Oikawa—71290LJun 19 · 10:45P. Xiang1.801114113M. Oikawa1.9171290WJun 18 · 16:10J. Groth2.407101161M. Oikawa1.4811127113WJun 18 · 04:00J. Groth2.507101161M. Oikawa1.5011127113WJun 17 · 16:15Y. Huang1.36713471M. Oikawa3.00111111113WJun 16 · 16:45H. Kwon3.00871111102M. Oikawa1.36111156123WJun 16 · 10:20E. Dorr3.50151111742M. Oikawa1.28179911113
D. Kozul10
LAug 28 · 16:15D. Kozul2.63114561A. Bhattacharjee1.4491111113WAug 28 · 09:45D. Dorcescu4.00913751D. Kozul1.22111111113WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2261111123M. Andersen3.751169101WAug 27 · 10:20D. Kozul1.3611128113Y. Yu3.005101151WAug 26 · 17:25D. Kozul1.351111123R. Heras2.9058100LAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113WAug 9 · 20:50D. Kozul5.551111113G. Park1.107960WAug 9 · 17:55D. Kozul6.001111103G. Park1.117960WAug 9 · 12:05D. Kozul1.30111011113A. Levenko3.40912891
Upcoming Matches
M. Oikawa
D. Kozul
Nothing scheduled
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