TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13098572
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Badowski
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171161210––––
Martin Friis
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Badowski to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Badowski above · Martin Friis below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Marek Badowski at 75.0%
57 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Badowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Badowski 60% vs Friis 40%
Badowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badowski 60% vs Friis 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Badowski -1 · Friis -3
Friis
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Badowski) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Friis form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadowski 1.17 / Friis 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Badowski)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13098572
Badowski1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Friis4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadowskiFriisBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 6 / 1060%60%6 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadowskiBadowski 1.17/Friis 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Badowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Badowski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Badowski10
LSep 9 · 08:10M. Badowski1.14611661M. Antoine-Michard5.0011311113WSep 8 · 13:25M. Badowski1.201111123M. Friis3.8576100LAug 23 · 09:10H. Kwon1.85137118133M. Badowski1.851111811112WAug 22 · 16:50C. Nuytinck2.006570M. Badowski1.731111113WAug 22 · 11:55N. Naresh6.50113971M. Badowski1.1081111113WAug 21 · 10:55B. Botha8.505850M. Badowski1.051111113LAug 9 · 15:35C. Kao1.26111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112LAug 9 · 10:20C. Kao1.28111159113M. Badowski3.5078111112WAug 8 · 13:35N. Alamiyan1.8311116772M. Badowski1.83781111113LJun 10 · 17:00M. Badowski2.3811914101K. Hamada1.5371116123
M. Friis10
LSep 8 · 13:25M. Badowski1.201111123M. Friis3.8576100LSep 8 · 08:10M. Antoine-Michard1.44971211113M. Friis2.63111110682LAug 8 · 13:35C. Kao1.08121183M. Friis7.0010890LMar 25 · 18:45M. Mutti1.481111113M. Friis2.427850WMar 24 · 15:35P. Jain1.5071250M. Friis2.251114103WMar 24 · 09:35R. Chambet-Weil4.5053120M. Friis1.171111143LJan 29 · 11:55W. Verdonschot1.2581111113M. Friis3.75115711WJan 28 · 17:00M. Friis2.501111114113J. Piccolin1.5031381162WJan 28 · 12:55M. Friis—111113113I. Hencl—8131141WJan 27 · 18:30M. Friis—1111113C. Kramer—7480
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