TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Maslovskyi vs Volodymyr Vasyliev 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Aug 16Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210711118119––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:07 and never touched: 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Volodymyr Vasyliev below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-9
Point 78 set 4, 10-9 · our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 62.8%
78 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 7–5 Volodymyr Vasyliev Volodymyr Vasyliev has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:0762.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Maslovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Maslovskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1160 vs Vasyliev 1135
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 0% vs Vasyliev 60%
Vasyliev
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 10% vs Vasyliev 30%
Vasyliev
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -5 · Vasyliev +1
Maslovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Maslovskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasyliev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.533 / Vasyliev 2.375
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Maslovskyi)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12440512
Maslovskyi1.53
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 108 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it80% 76 of 95
Vasyliev2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 23 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi5wins
AwayVasyliev5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi71.4%5 of 7
AwayVasyliev100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi7Vasyliev3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi6Vasyliev4n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Maslovskyi5Vasyliev5n = 10split evenly
S4Maslovskyi3Vasyliev4n = 7Vasyliev took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiVasylievM − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.933.2+4.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiVasylievBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 853 vs 66 / 13952.2%47.5%445 / 853 vs 66 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiMaslovskyi 1.53/Vasyliev 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 9 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi47121014113V. Vasyliev4210121281
WAug 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi341211113V. Vasyliev2010640
WAug 2 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi341112113V. Vasyliev2261060
LJul 6 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi4691261182V. Vasyliev461110113113
WJul 5 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi331111113V. Vasyliev146170
LJun 29 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi3971110111V. Vasyliev3911312133
LJun 28 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi36119881V. Vasyliev3741111113
LJun 22 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi291135101V. Vasyliev4281111123
LJun 21 · 15:25O. Maslovskyi4091110101V. Vasyliev4411912123
WMay 23 · 09:25O. Maslovskyi4111811113V. Vasyliev26111861
O. Maslovskyi10
WOct 2 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.38131311123H. Oliynyk1.5315113101WOct 2 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.36116101393A. Nikolenko3.00611121162LOct 2 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.506650M. Dunas1.501111113LOct 2 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi4.5094111172O. Maksymkiv1.17111196113WOct 2 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi3.00119611123V. Hel1.36811119102LOct 1 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi4.009790O. Maksymkiv1.221111113WOct 1 · 09:25V. Salivonchyk1.4491111692O. Maslovskyi2.63118511113WOct 1 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.506990O. Maslovskyi1.501111113WOct 1 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.75111311113M. Dunas1.40615681WOct 1 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.0071111382O. Maslovskyi1.36115611113
V. Vasyliev10
WAug 17 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv1.36119941V. Vasyliev3.0061111113WAug 17 · 09:55V. Vasyliev2.101111113V. Salivonchyk1.674890LAug 17 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi1.5341111113V. Vasyliev2.38118851LAug 17 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.831111113V. Vasyliev1.839670LAug 17 · 04:55D. Kasian1.401213199113V. Vasyliev2.751411171172LAug 16 · 18:25D. Kasian1.57111293V. Vasyliev2.2591080WAug 16 · 17:25V. Salivonchyk1.539770V. Vasyliev2.381111113LAug 16 · 15:55O. Sapuzhak1.7311114113V. Vasyliev2.00691171WAug 16 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.6786111272V. Vasyliev2.101111910103WAug 10 · 10:55V. Vasyliev2.2511118113D. Kasian1.57881141
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