TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Adrian Fabis 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Aug 14Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
1.32
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181210611611118
Adrian Fabis
Away
3.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Fabis to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210611611118
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 33–33 Adrian Fabis Dead even across their 66 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:41What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (70%)
Lukaszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-33 in 66
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1238 vs Fabis 1225
Lukaszewski
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 20% vs Fabis 40%
Fabis
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 50% vs Fabis 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -3 · Fabis +2
Lukaszewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Lukaszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 1.32 / Fabis 3.05
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12436798
Lukaszewski1.32
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 121 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it80% 96 of 120
Fabis3.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 144 of 323
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski5wins
AwayFabis5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski100%4 of 4
AwayFabis83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski4Fabis6n = 10Fabis took 6 of 10
S2Lukaszewski3Fabis7n = 10Fabis took 7 of 10
S3Lukaszewski7Fabis3n = 10Lukaszewski took 7 of 10
S4Lukaszewski6Fabis1n = 7Lukaszewski took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiFabisL − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.136.1+1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiFabisBasisWin rate · lifetime918 / 2026 vs 1004 / 188245.3%53.4%918 / 2026 vs 1004 / 1882Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiLukaszewski 1.32/Fabis 3.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski226880A. Fabis331111113
LAug 12 · 21:55M. Lukaszewski2310760A. Fabis341211113
WAug 12 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski4211911113A. Fabis31611591
LAug 10 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski43651111102A. Fabis46111157123
WAug 7 · 21:55M. Lukaszewski331111113A. Fabis239770
WAug 5 · 22:15M. Lukaszewski4211911113A. Fabis32611871
WJul 22 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski4171111123A. Fabis341167101
WJul 22 · 21:20M. Lukaszewski4111811113A. Fabis37911891
LJul 22 · 18:10M. Lukaszewski48101181182A. Fabis50128118113
LJul 15 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski36791191A. Fabis4111118113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 22 · 08:10R. Stapor1.40811771M. Lukaszewski2.7511511113LSep 22 · 07:20B. Sulkowski1.471111113M. Lukaszewski2.455970LSep 22 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.001011115163M. Lukaszewski1.70127911142LSep 22 · 04:30D. Wrobel1.80111158113M. Lukaszewski1.8598111192WSep 22 · 03:00A. Sobel1.37118981M. Lukaszewski2.7561111113LSep 21 · 08:10R. Stapor1.501291111113M. Lukaszewski2.3514117992LSep 21 · 07:20F. Krcil1.76611118113M. Lukaszewski1.9011951152LSep 21 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.951211143M. Lukaszewski1.75108120LSep 21 · 04:30A. Sobel1.25117125113M. Lukaszewski3.05811101162LSep 21 · 03:00M. Zwolinski2.101111143M. Lukaszewski1.6084120
A. Fabis10
WAug 14 · 22:15W. Gluszek1.774980A. Fabis1.931111113WAug 14 · 21:30K. Golaszewski1.80711991A. Fabis1.9011711113LAug 14 · 19:40A. Fabis1.457730P. Strus2.501111113LAug 14 · 18:30A. Fabis2.12117661M. Skorski1.6291111113LAug 14 · 17:20A. Fabis1.668950W. Gluszek2.101111113WAug 14 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski1.556880A. Fabis2.251111113WAug 14 · 15:25A. Fabis2.05711117123K. Golaszewski1.70116711102LAug 13 · 24:35A. Fabis1.93117891K. Golaszewski1.7881111113LAug 12 · 23:45M. Trela1.6611118113A. Fabis2.05781161LAug 12 · 22:35A. Fabis1.829680M. Kowalczyk1.851111113
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