TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12391059
Played Aug 9Finished
Sally Moyland
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116112311411811
Giorgia Piccolin
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSally Moyland to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSally Moyland above · Giorgia Piccolin below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 62 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Sally Moyland at 54.0%
62 points drawn · the score is 16 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:15What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Moyland
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Moyland 60% vs Piccolin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moyland 80% vs Piccolin 50%
Moyland
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moyland +2 · Piccolin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Moyland) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piccolin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoyland 1.44 / Piccolin 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Moyland)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12391059
Moyland1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Piccolin2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoylandPiccolinBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 5 / 1080%50%8 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoylandMoyland 1.44/Piccolin 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Moyland · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Piccolin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Moyland10
WAug 9 · 12:40S. Moyland1.20881111103Z. Tan4.3311119592WAug 8 · 16:30S. Moyland1.131111103L. Chang5.509160LJun 29 · 19:35P. Pavade1.281111119113S. Moyland3.5091391172LMay 6 · 18:25M. Pesotska1.7312111212113S. Moyland2.00142141072WMay 6 · 16:35V. Matuinina2.5061260S. Moyland1.501114113WMay 5 · 20:40S. Moyland3.75101111133M. Batra1.251293111WMay 5 · 18:30S. Moyland1.911111113Y. Ghorpade1.808870WMay 1 · 11:30E. Brito7.007380S. Moyland1.081111113WApr 29 · 20:20L. Chang2.388790S. Moyland1.531111113WApr 29 · 19:00A. Tee1.50133681S. Moyland2.40111111113
G. Piccolin10
LAug 13 · 17:10Y. Shin1.031111113G. Piccolin10.009840WAug 10 · 17:45G. Piccolin2.20151181113C. Lutz1.61134111172WAug 9 · 12:40M. Alhodaby3.0011135652G. Piccolin1.368111111113WAug 8 · 17:40G. Piccolin1.5771111113L. Ser2.25119871LJun 28 · 01:05Y. Ghorpade1.5091111113G. Piccolin2.50114391WJun 27 · 02:50S. Mukherjee1.5555111142G. Piccolin2.20111179113LMay 29 · 09:10M. Yovkova6.50111178113G. Piccolin1.1089111162LMay 23 · 10:10L. Massart4.50118115113G. Piccolin1.1781151192WMay 22 · 08:00V. Strassburger3.50112117102G. Piccolin1.28511711123LMay 18 · 11:45G. Piccolin1.5746100T. Ho2.251111123
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