TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380139
Played Aug 8Finished
Giorgia Piccolin
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119118117––
Lin Qian Ser
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:46 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeGiorgia Piccolin to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGiorgia Piccolin above · Lin Qian Ser below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Giorgia Piccolin at 58.9%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:46What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Piccolin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Piccolin 40% vs Ser 20%
Piccolin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piccolin 50% vs Ser 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piccolin -1 · Ser -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Piccolin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ser form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiccolin 1.57 / Ser 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Piccolin)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380139
Piccolin1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Ser2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiccolinSerBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiccolinPiccolin 1.57/Ser 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Piccolin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Piccolin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
G. Piccolin10
LAug 13 · 17:10Y. Shin1.031111113G. Piccolin10.009840WAug 10 · 17:45G. Piccolin2.20151181113C. Lutz1.61134111172WAug 9 · 17:55S. Moyland1.4411113482G. Piccolin2.63621111113WAug 9 · 12:40M. Alhodaby3.0011135652G. Piccolin1.368111111113LJun 28 · 01:05Y. Ghorpade1.5091111113G. Piccolin2.50114391WJun 27 · 02:50S. Mukherjee1.5555111142G. Piccolin2.20111179113LMay 29 · 09:10M. Yovkova6.50111178113G. Piccolin1.1089111162LMay 23 · 10:10L. Massart4.50118115113G. Piccolin1.1781151192WMay 22 · 08:00V. Strassburger3.50112117102G. Piccolin1.28511711123LMay 18 · 11:45G. Piccolin1.5746100T. Ho2.251111123
L. Ser10
LAug 26 · 15:40M. Stoffregen5.4031111113L. Ser1.08116791LAug 22 · 10:10L. Ser3.4081111632Y. Li1.30118611113WAug 21 · 09:45S. Klee3.9011118752L. Ser1.22261111113WAug 21 · 08:00S. Klee4.5011118752L. Ser1.17261111113LJun 28 · 02:15L. Ser2.50671151Y. Huang1.5011119113WJun 27 · 18:10L. Ser1.6011114113S. Altinkaya2.20871181LJun 17 · 12:30S. Fan—11118113L. Ser—671171LJun 16 · 17:00S. Fan1.1711118113L. Ser4.50671171LJun 10 · 08:35A. Sasao1.2081111113L. Ser4.33116661WJun 9 · 15:20D. Lee1.5311101171L. Ser2.3813128113
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