TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12384274
Played Aug 9Finished
Mariam Alhodaby
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181311511611511
Giorgia Piccolin
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGiorgia Piccolin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMariam Alhodaby above · Giorgia Piccolin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Giorgia Piccolin at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:53What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Piccolin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Alhodaby 40% vs Piccolin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Alhodaby 30% vs Piccolin 50%
Piccolin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Alhodaby +1 · Piccolin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Piccolin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piccolin form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlhodaby 3.00 / Piccolin 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Piccolin)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12384274
Alhodaby3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Piccolin1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlhodabyPiccolinBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 5 / 1030%50%3 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.12.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiccolinAlhodaby 3.00/Piccolin 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Piccolin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Piccolin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Alhodaby10
WAug 8 · 17:05S. Zhang1.209840M. Alhodaby4.331111113LMay 5 · 19:40M. Alhodaby1.25167771E. Labosova3.75141111113WApr 30 · 16:40M. Alhodaby1.1491111113J. Hauwaert5.00115721LMar 31 · 09:35A. Hursey1.0781111113M. Alhodaby7.50118661LMar 30 · 01:40S. Winter1.031111113M. Alhodaby10.006590LFeb 22 · 05:45M. Alhodaby1.83510110C. Psihogios1.831112133LJan 15 · 09:45T. Kukulkova1.441211113M. Alhodaby2.6310570LNov 20 · 10:30M. Hirano1.021111113M. Alhodaby11.006670LNov 20 · 07:00M. Hirano—1111113M. Alhodaby—6670WNov 19 · 14:45B. Balazova1.1711115962M. Alhodaby4.50681111113
G. Piccolin10
LAug 13 · 17:10Y. Shin1.031111113G. Piccolin10.009840WAug 10 · 17:45G. Piccolin2.20151181113C. Lutz1.61134111172WAug 9 · 17:55S. Moyland1.4411113482G. Piccolin2.63621111113WAug 8 · 17:40G. Piccolin1.5771111113L. Ser2.25119871LJun 28 · 01:05Y. Ghorpade1.5091111113G. Piccolin2.50114391WJun 27 · 02:50S. Mukherjee1.5555111142G. Piccolin2.20111179113LMay 29 · 09:10M. Yovkova6.50111178113G. Piccolin1.1089111162LMay 23 · 10:10L. Massart4.50118115113G. Piccolin1.1781151192WMay 22 · 08:00V. Strassburger3.50112117102G. Piccolin1.28511711123LMay 18 · 11:45G. Piccolin1.5746100T. Ho2.251111123
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