TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380128
Played Aug 8Finished
Sofia Xuan Zhang
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811411––––
Mariam Alhodaby
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:47 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeSofia Xuan Zhang to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSofia Xuan Zhang above · Mariam Alhodaby below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 54 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Sofia Xuan Zhang at 75.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Sofia Xuan Zhang 0–1 Mariam Alhodaby Sofia Xuan Zhang has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:47What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Zhang
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Zhang 40% vs Alhodaby 20%
Zhang
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhang 30% vs Alhodaby 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhang -1 · Alhodaby -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Zhang) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhang form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhang 1.20 / Alhodaby 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Zhang)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380128
Zhang1.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Alhodaby4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZhang0wins
AwayAlhodaby1wins
Alhodaby leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricZhangAlhodabyZ − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhangAlhodabyBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 2 / 1030%20%3 / 10 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.50.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhangZhang 1.20/Alhodaby 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.3%
Zhang · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Alhodaby won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 8 · 17:05S. Zhang—9840M. Alhodaby—1111113
S. Zhang10
LJun 27 · 24:30X. Shan1.2561312113S. Zhang3.7511111081WJun 26 · 18:10S. Zhang1.171111113B. Burgos4.509690LJun 16 · 16:10S. Zhang2.6331151132S. Surjan1.44116119113LJun 10 · 09:45S. Zhang6.50611851A. Kaufmann1.1011711113WJun 9 · 15:20B. Eerland1.17117981S. Zhang4.5061111113LMay 1 · 09:35S. Zhang8.5071370K. Kim1.051115113LApr 29 · 15:51N. Bajor1.441111103S. Zhang2.637930LMar 27 · 10:35M. Takeya1.20121158143S. Zhang4.331091111122WMar 26 · 13:10N. Zheng1.83117661S. Zhang1.8381111103LMar 9 · 16:05D. Cosic3.501111113S. Zhang1.287870
M. Alhodaby10
LAug 9 · 12:40M. Alhodaby3.0011135652G. Piccolin1.368111111113LMay 5 · 19:40M. Alhodaby1.25167771E. Labosova3.75141111113WApr 30 · 16:40M. Alhodaby1.1491111113J. Hauwaert5.00115721LMar 31 · 09:35A. Hursey1.0781111113M. Alhodaby7.50118661LMar 30 · 01:40S. Winter1.031111113M. Alhodaby10.006590LFeb 22 · 05:45M. Alhodaby1.83510110C. Psihogios1.831112133LJan 15 · 09:45T. Kukulkova1.441211113M. Alhodaby2.6310570LNov 20 · 10:30M. Hirano1.021111113M. Alhodaby11.006670LNov 20 · 07:00M. Hirano—1111113M. Alhodaby—6670WNov 19 · 14:45B. Balazova1.1711115962M. Alhodaby4.50681111113
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