TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380138
Played Aug 8Finished
Sally Moyland
Home
1.13
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119111106––––
Li Sian Alice Chang
Away
5.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:47 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeSally Moyland to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSally Moyland above · Li Sian Alice Chang below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Sally Moyland at 78.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Sally Moyland 1–0 Li Sian Alice Chang Li Sian Alice Chang has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:47What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Moyland
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Moyland 60% vs Chang 40%
Moyland
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moyland 70% vs Chang 30%
Moyland
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moyland -2 · Chang -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Moyland) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chang form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoyland 1.13 / Chang 5.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Moyland)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380138
Moyland1.13
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Chang5.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoyland1wins
AwayChang0wins
Moyland leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMoylandChangM − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match32.016.0+16.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoylandChangBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 3 / 1070%30%7 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.61.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoylandMoyland 1.13/Chang 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Moyland · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moyland won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 8 · 16:30S. Moyland—1111103L. Chang—9160
S. Moyland10
LAug 9 · 17:55S. Moyland1.4411113482G. Piccolin2.63621111113WAug 9 · 12:40S. Moyland1.20881111103Z. Tan4.3311119592LJun 29 · 19:35P. Pavade1.281111119113S. Moyland3.5091391172LMay 6 · 18:25M. Pesotska1.7312111212113S. Moyland2.00142141072WMay 6 · 16:35V. Matuinina2.5061260S. Moyland1.501114113WMay 5 · 20:40S. Moyland3.75101111133M. Batra1.251293111WMay 5 · 18:30S. Moyland1.911111113Y. Ghorpade1.808870WMay 1 · 11:30E. Brito7.007380S. Moyland1.081111113WApr 29 · 20:20L. Chang2.388790S. Moyland1.531111113WApr 29 · 19:00A. Tee1.50133681S. Moyland2.40111111113
L. Chang10
LMay 4 · 20:05N. Mittelham1.0811118113L. Chang7.00681141LApr 29 · 20:20L. Chang2.388790S. Moyland1.531111113WApr 29 · 18:30L. Chang2.631111113J. Lai1.447870WApr 28 · 15:59E. Brito1.830L. Chang1.833LApr 8 · 04:45A. Tee1.201111113L. Chang4.335860LApr 7 · 03:35L. Chang1.61511951I. Ying2.2011611113LSep 2 · 11:25K. Lyne1.831311113L. Chang1.8311670LMay 17 · 17:30J. Shao1.83811119114L. Chang1.8311971142LApr 7 · 10:25H. Arapovic1.251111113L. Chang3.758850WApr 6 · 14:35K. Grofova2.25631171L. Chang1.5711113103
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