TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12388810
Played Aug 9Finished
Tung-Chuan Chien
Home
1.26
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119115––––
Sarah De Nutte
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeTung-Chuan Chien to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTung-Chuan Chien above · Sarah De Nutte below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Tung-Chuan Chien at 55.4%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:34What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (72%)
Chien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Chien 80% vs Nutte 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chien 80% vs Nutte 60%
Chien
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chien +3 · Nutte +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Chien) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nutte form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChien 1.26 / Nutte 3.25
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Chien)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12388810
Chien1.26
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Nutte3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChienNutteBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 6 / 1080%60%8 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.72.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
ChienChien 1.26/Nutte 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Chien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chien won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Chien10
LSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 12:45T. Chien—111184113D. Chitale—75111192WSep 3 · 05:00T. Chien1.57111184113D. Chitale2.2575111192LAug 13 · 12:20M. Wang1.011111113T. Chien15.005380WAug 10 · 12:20T. Chien1.731111113F. Yu2.007650WAug 9 · 12:40T. Chien1.241111113Z. Wielgos3.498430WAug 9 · 09:10T. Chien1.201111113Z. Wielgos4.338430WAug 8 · 09:55T. Chien1.10811711123S. Mirkadirova6.50118111102LJul 28 · 05:00Y. Ojio1.254131111113T. Chien3.75111113772WJul 27 · 13:25Y. Wu2.2061240T. Chien1.601114113
S. Nutte10
WAug 9 · 13:15N. Arlia2.659650S. Nutte1.381111113WAug 9 · 09:45N. Arlia2.759650S. Nutte1.401111113WAug 8 · 11:05F. Schreiner2.25791171S. Nutte1.5711119113LJun 28 · 24:30A. Zarif1.83812116113S. Nutte1.83111071172WJun 27 · 01:05C. Lutz1.3912111181S. Nutte2.7014713113LJun 3 · 09:10S. Nutte4.5059111142S. Chen1.17111189113WJun 2 · 09:35S. Nutte1.14101111113H. Patel5.00126361LMay 6 · 09:00S. Nutte15.008550M. Harimoto1.011111113WMay 5 · 18:20G. Takahashi2.259740S. Nutte1.571111113LMay 5 · 16:10B. Takahashi1.1011116113S. Nutte6.50971191
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.