TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12382566
Played Aug 9Finished
Tung-Chuan Chien
Home
1.24
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114113––––
Zuzanna Wielgos
Away
3.49
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:47 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeTung-Chuan Chien to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTung-Chuan Chien above · Zuzanna Wielgos below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Tung-Chuan Chien at 62.2%
48 points played in total.
H2H Tung-Chuan Chien 2–0 Zuzanna Wielgos Zuzanna Wielgos has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:47What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.24 (74%)
Chien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Chien 80% vs Wielgos 40%
Chien
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chien 70% vs Wielgos 30%
Chien
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chien +2 · Wielgos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Chien) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wielgos form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChien 1.24 / Wielgos 3.49
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Chien)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12382566
Chien1.24
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Wielgos3.49
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChien2wins
AwayWielgos0wins
Chien leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChienWielgosC − WBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.015.0+18.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChienWielgosBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 3 / 1070%30%7 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.61.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChienChien 1.24/Wielgos 3.49
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.8%
Chien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 9 · 12:40T. Chien—1111113Z. Wielgos—8430
WAug 9 · 09:10T. Chien—1111113Z. Wielgos—8430
T. Chien10
LSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 12:45T. Chien—111184113D. Chitale—75111192WSep 3 · 05:00T. Chien1.57111184113D. Chitale2.2575111192LAug 13 · 12:20M. Wang1.011111113T. Chien15.005380WAug 10 · 12:20T. Chien1.731111113F. Yu2.007650WAug 9 · 17:20T. Chien1.261111113S. Nutte3.256950WAug 9 · 09:10T. Chien1.201111113Z. Wielgos4.338430WAug 8 · 09:55T. Chien1.10811711123S. Mirkadirova6.50118111102LJul 28 · 05:00Y. Ojio1.254131111113T. Chien3.75111113772WJul 27 · 13:25Y. Wu2.2061240T. Chien1.601114113
Z. Wielgos10
LAug 29 · 09:35Z. Wielgos—0M. Pesotska—3LAug 28 · 10:00O. Vorobeva—11112Z. Wielgos—730WAug 28 · 09:20A. Kolish—119111Z. Wielgos—131162LAug 27 · 09:45N. Bajor1.3311614113Z. Wielgos3.257111271WAug 26 · 16:15A. Klempererova5.00641171Z. Wielgos1.1411116113LAug 21 · 15:40S. Sawettabut1.6091111113Z. Wielgos2.20116841LAug 21 · 08:00S. Sawettabut1.4491111113Z. Wielgos2.63116841LAug 9 · 09:10T. Chien1.201111113Z. Wielgos4.338430WAug 8 · 10:30K. Lyne2.20991161Z. Wielgos1.6111119113LJun 10 · 09:45Z. Wielgos2.634560J. Shao1.441111113
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