TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380129
Played Aug 8Finished
Karen Lyne
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911911119611––
Zuzanna Wielgos
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeZuzanna Wielgos to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKaren Lyne above · Zuzanna Wielgos below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Zuzanna Wielgos at 57.7%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:53What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Wielgos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lyne 40% vs Wielgos 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyne 30% vs Wielgos 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyne -2 · Wielgos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Wielgos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wielgos form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyne 2.20 / Wielgos 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Wielgos)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380129
Lyne2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest13%takes the first set · 1 of 8
Wielgos1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLyneWielgosBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 3 / 1030%30%3 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.31.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WielgosLyne 2.20/Wielgos 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Wielgos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wielgos won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Lyne10
LMay 4 · 18:25S. Winter1.081111113K. Lyne7.002670LApr 29 · 19:40K. Lyne4.5061360L. Zhang1.171115113WApr 28 · 16:50E. Castro—1K. Lyne—3WApr 8 · 05:55K. Lyne1.8351412113T. Kong1.8311121091LApr 7 · 09:45K. Lyne1.18811331Y. Feng4.1011911113LApr 7 · 04:45K. Lyne—81161192X. Wang—119118113LNov 7 · 18:15K. Lyne2.38791191L. Rakovac1.5311117113WNov 7 · 11:50D. Vivarelli2.5081001K. Lyne1.50111213LOct 21 · 17:50Y. Lam1.441111113K. Lyne2.637980LSep 3 · 08:00K. Lyne5.505530K. Idesawa1.131111113
Z. Wielgos10
LAug 29 · 09:35Z. Wielgos—0M. Pesotska—3LAug 28 · 10:00O. Vorobeva—11112Z. Wielgos—730WAug 28 · 09:20A. Kolish—119111Z. Wielgos—131162LAug 27 · 09:45N. Bajor1.3311614113Z. Wielgos3.257111271WAug 26 · 16:15A. Klempererova5.00641171Z. Wielgos1.1411116113LAug 21 · 15:40S. Sawettabut1.6091111113Z. Wielgos2.20116841LAug 21 · 08:00S. Sawettabut1.4491111113Z. Wielgos2.63116841LAug 9 · 12:40T. Chien1.241111113Z. Wielgos3.498430LAug 9 · 09:10T. Chien1.201111113Z. Wielgos4.338430LJun 10 · 09:45Z. Wielgos2.634560J. Shao1.441111113
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