TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12395401
Played Aug 10Finished
Tung-Chuan Chien
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116115––––
Fu Yu
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeTung-Chuan Chien to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTung-Chuan Chien above · Fu Yu below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Tung-Chuan Chien at 54.4%
51 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Chien 80% vs Yu 60%
Chien
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chien 80% vs Yu 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chien +4 · Yu -2
Chien
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chien form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChien 1.73 / Yu 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chien)+0.3pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12395401
Chien1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Yu2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChienYuBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 7 / 1080%70%8 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.72.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChienChien 1.73/Yu 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chien won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Chien10
LSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 12:45T. Chien—111184113D. Chitale—75111192WSep 3 · 05:00T. Chien1.57111184113D. Chitale2.2575111192LAug 13 · 12:20M. Wang1.011111113T. Chien15.005380WAug 9 · 17:20T. Chien1.261111113S. Nutte3.256950WAug 9 · 12:40T. Chien1.241111113Z. Wielgos3.498430WAug 9 · 09:10T. Chien1.201111113Z. Wielgos4.338430WAug 8 · 09:55T. Chien1.10811711123S. Mirkadirova6.50118111102LJul 28 · 05:00Y. Ojio1.254131111113T. Chien3.75111113772WJul 27 · 13:25Y. Wu2.2061240T. Chien1.601114113
F. Yu10
LJun 29 · 02:45H. Hashimoto1.051311113F. Yu8.5011750LJun 11 · 16:10M. Kihara1.171111113F. Yu4.508550WJun 10 · 16:10F. Yu1.1811111412113S. Tokic3.7995161462WJun 10 · 15:00F. Yu1.2211111412113S. Tokic4.0095161462WJun 10 · 08:35F. Yu2.201110718113K. Omoda1.61812111672WJun 9 · 18:15F. Yu1.221111113S. Choi3.802670WJun 9 · 14:08F. Yu1.571111113S. Choi2.252670WMay 5 · 08:56G. Monfardini2.5011113752F. Yu1.50971111113WApr 29 · 16:35F. Yu2.0081111113X. Ni1.73118231LApr 9 · 04:15M. Hirano1.051111113F. Yu8.505650
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