TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380147
Played Aug 8Finished
Tung-Chuan Chien
Home
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111187111111210
Sarvinoz Mirkadirova
Away
6.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 85.5% is still 85.5%
Graded at full timeTung-Chuan Chien to win
85.5%
85.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTung-Chuan Chien above · Sarvinoz Mirkadirova below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 90 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tung-Chuan Chien at 85.5%
90 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Chien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Chien 60% vs Mirkadirova 20%
Chien
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chien 60% vs Mirkadirova 30%
Chien
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chien -1 · Mirkadirova -4
Mirkadirova
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Chien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chien form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChien 1.10 / Mirkadirova 6.50
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Chien)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380147
Chien1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Mirkadirova6.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChienMirkadirovaBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 3 / 1060%30%6 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.51.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChienChien 1.10/Mirkadirova 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Chien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chien won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Chien10
LSep 4 · 11:00H. Hayata1.021211113T. Chien10.5010960WSep 3 · 12:45T. Chien—111184113D. Chitale—75111192WSep 3 · 05:00T. Chien1.57111184113D. Chitale2.2575111192LAug 13 · 12:20M. Wang1.011111113T. Chien15.005380WAug 10 · 12:20T. Chien1.731111113F. Yu2.007650WAug 9 · 17:20T. Chien1.261111113S. Nutte3.256950WAug 9 · 12:40T. Chien1.241111113Z. Wielgos3.498430WAug 9 · 09:10T. Chien1.201111113Z. Wielgos4.338430LJul 28 · 05:00Y. Ojio1.254131111113T. Chien3.75111113772WJul 27 · 13:25Y. Wu2.2061240T. Chien1.601114113
S. Mirkadirova10
LSep 3 · 13:20V. Voronina—11118113S. Mirkadirova—731131LSep 3 · 05:00V. Voronina1.1711118113S. Mirkadirova4.50731131LJul 26 · 12:40R. Mende1.081111113S. Mirkadirova7.005670LJul 21 · 03:00S. Chen1.0641111113S. Mirkadirova8.00118381LJun 16 · 09:45B. Varady1.1411511113S. Mirkadirova5.00511751LMay 4 · 09:00L. Bergstrom1.061111113S. Mirkadirova8.006890WMay 1 · 19:55S. Mirkadirova1.911111113L. Massart1.808450WApr 30 · 17:20H. Kodetova2.00671111122S. Mirkadirova1.73111199143LApr 30 · 16:00K. Grofova1.571113123S. Mirkadirova2.25611100WApr 29 · 16:35S. Mirkadirova—11811113B. Batmunkh—711881
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