TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar Women
WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar WomenMatch #12270619
Played Jul 21Finished
Szu-Yu Chen
Home
1.06
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411118113118––
Sarvinoz Mirkadirova
Away
8.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:06 and never touched — 88.3% is still 88.3%
Graded at full timeSzu-Yu Chen to win
88.3%
88.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSzu-Yu Chen above · Sarvinoz Mirkadirova below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-8
Point 65 set 4, 9-8 — our read held Szu-Yu Chen at 88.3%
65 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:06What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Chen
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Chen 40% vs Mirkadirova 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chen 40% vs Mirkadirova 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chen -2 · Mirkadirova -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Chen)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mirkadirova form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChen 1.06 / Mirkadirova 8.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Chen)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar Women · #12270619
Chen1.06
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Mirkadirova8.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChenMirkadirovaBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 3 / 1040%30%4 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.51.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChenChen 1.06/Mirkadirova 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Chen · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chen won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Chen10
LAug 7 · 05:10S. Chen1.83991171S. Yoo1.8311115113WAug 6 · 10:55S. Chen—1111113C. Sisomboun—3640LJul 27 · 07:10S. Chen1.731311651Y. Wu2.0015511113WJul 26 · 06:45S. Chen1.011111113T. Ozodjonova12.009670LJul 22 · 04:45S. Chen1.447390C. Chen2.631111113LJun 16 · 09:45S. Chen2.75103130F. Han1.401211153LJun 10 · 09:45Y. Peng1.831111113S. Chen1.838950WJun 9 · 16:30S. Chen2.101111113G. Park1.679540LJun 3 · 14:35S. Chen1.25711101342T. Ho3.751171211113WJun 3 · 09:10S. Nutte4.5059111142S. Chen1.17111189113
S. Mirkadirova10
LSep 3 · 13:20V. Voronina—11118113S. Mirkadirova—731131LSep 3 · 05:00V. Voronina1.1711118113S. Mirkadirova4.50731131LAug 8 · 09:55T. Chien1.10811711123S. Mirkadirova6.50118111102LJul 26 · 12:40R. Mende1.081111113S. Mirkadirova7.005670LJun 16 · 09:45B. Varady1.1411511113S. Mirkadirova5.00511751LMay 4 · 09:00L. Bergstrom1.061111113S. Mirkadirova8.006890WMay 1 · 19:55S. Mirkadirova1.911111113L. Massart1.808450WApr 30 · 17:20H. Kodetova2.00671111122S. Mirkadirova1.73111199143LApr 30 · 16:00K. Grofova1.571113123S. Mirkadirova2.25611100WApr 29 · 16:35S. Mirkadirova—11811113B. Batmunkh—711881
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