TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12384285
Played Aug 9Finished
Nicole Arlia
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611511––––
Sarah De Nutte
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeSarah De Nutte to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNicole Arlia above · Sarah De Nutte below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Sarah De Nutte at 66.3%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:03What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Nutte
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Arlia 60% vs Nutte 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Arlia 60% vs Nutte 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Arlia +1 · Nutte +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Nutte)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nutte form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArlia 2.75 / Nutte 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Nutte)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12384285
Arlia2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Nutte1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricArliaNutteBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 5 / 1060%50%6 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NutteArlia 2.75/Nutte 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Nutte · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nutte won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
N. Arlia10
LAug 9 · 13:15N. Arlia2.659650S. Nutte1.381111113WAug 8 · 10:30I. Cok1.40117971N. Arlia2.7581111113LJun 26 · 18:10N. Arlia3.501010100I. Lupulesku1.281212123LMay 22 · 09:10G. Bled3.75138716123N. Arlia1.2511111114102WMay 1 · 12:45N. Arlia—1111113L. Frias—5680WApr 28 · 10:00N. Arlia1.3311811113O. Yilmaz3.05711961LApr 15 · 09:10N. Arlia4.3312113322T. Ho1.201051111113WApr 14 · 15:45N. Arlia—12119113C. Picard—1091171WApr 14 · 08:05N. Arlia—11119113N. Gajewska—391161WApr 13 · 14:35N. Arlia—3A. Avezou—2
S. Nutte10
LAug 9 · 17:20T. Chien1.261111113S. Nutte3.256950WAug 9 · 13:15N. Arlia2.659650S. Nutte1.381111113WAug 8 · 11:05F. Schreiner2.25791171S. Nutte1.5711119113LJun 28 · 24:30A. Zarif1.83812116113S. Nutte1.83111071172WJun 27 · 01:05C. Lutz1.3912111181S. Nutte2.7014713113LJun 3 · 09:10S. Nutte4.5059111142S. Chen1.17111189113WJun 2 · 09:35S. Nutte1.14101111113H. Patel5.00126361LMay 6 · 09:00S. Nutte15.008550M. Harimoto1.011111113WMay 5 · 18:20G. Takahashi2.259740S. Nutte1.571111113LMay 5 · 16:10B. Takahashi1.1011116113S. Nutte6.50971191
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