TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380159
Played Aug 8Finished
Isa Cok
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711911711––
Nicole Arlia
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:02 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeIsa Cok to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIsa Cok above · Nicole Arlia below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Isa Cok at 66.3%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:02What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Cok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Cok 60% vs Arlia 40%
Cok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cok 50% vs Arlia 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cok -2 · Arlia -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Cok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cok form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCok 1.40 / Arlia 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Cok)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380159
Cok1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Arlia2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCokArliaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 6 / 1050%60%5 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CokCok 1.40/Arlia 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Cok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Arlia won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Cok10
LJun 16 · 11:30Y. Wan1.5791111113I. Cok2.25115971LMay 31 · 08:00Y. Yeh1.2271111113I. Cok4.00118571WMay 30 · 17:25I. Cok3.79681111133C. Muramatsu1.18111159112WMay 30 · 16:15I. Cok4.33681111133C. Muramatsu1.20111159112WMay 30 · 10:10E. Sastre3.2591170I. Cok1.331113113WMay 29 · 09:45I. Cok1.25121110113P. Vega3.751041281LMay 22 · 15:40A. Salpin2.7581111183I. Cok1.401178161LApr 20 · 15:40A. Sasao1.261111113I. Cok3.354280WApr 20 · 08:00I. Cok1.8011711113Y. Choi1.91711451LApr 15 · 15:40K. Wegrzyn2.50711119113I. Cok1.5011361172
N. Arlia10
LAug 9 · 13:15N. Arlia2.659650S. Nutte1.381111113LAug 9 · 09:45N. Arlia2.759650S. Nutte1.401111113LJun 26 · 18:10N. Arlia3.501010100I. Lupulesku1.281212123LMay 22 · 09:10G. Bled3.75138716123N. Arlia1.2511111114102WMay 1 · 12:45N. Arlia—1111113L. Frias—5680WApr 28 · 10:00N. Arlia1.3311811113O. Yilmaz3.05711961LApr 15 · 09:10N. Arlia4.3312113322T. Ho1.201051111113WApr 14 · 15:45N. Arlia—12119113C. Picard—1091171WApr 14 · 08:05N. Arlia—11119113N. Gajewska—391161WApr 13 · 14:35N. Arlia—3A. Avezou—2
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