TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12380298
Played Aug 8Finished
Baldwin Chan
Home
1.04
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11411795––––
Bosman Botha
Away
9.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
0–3Last 3Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:36 and never touched — 87.5% is still 87.5%
Graded at full timeBaldwin Chan to win
87.5%
87.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBaldwin Chan above · Bosman Botha below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-5
Point 47 set 3, 9-5 — our read held Baldwin Chan at 87.5%
47 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:36What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Chan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Chan 60% vs Botha 0%
Chan
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chan 50% vs Botha 0%
Chan
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chan -1 · Botha -3
Botha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Chan) · live re-read · sealed at 88% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Botha form (0%) is below what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChan 1.04 / Botha 9.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Chan)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12380298
Chan1.04
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Botha9.00
0%won 0 of 3 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 2
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChanBothaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 0 / 250%0%5 / 10 vs 0 / 2Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChanChan 1.04/Botha 9.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.6%
Chan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chan won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
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B. Botha9
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