TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12384870
Played Aug 9Finished
Baldwin Chan
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012510––––
Jing-Kai Hung
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJing-Kai Hung to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBaldwin Chan above · Jing-Kai Hung below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-10
Point 59 set 3, 5-10 — our read held Jing-Kai Hung at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:30What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Chan 60% vs Hung 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chan 50% vs Hung 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chan +1 · Hung +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Chan) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hung form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChan 1.61 / Hung 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Chan)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12384870
Chan1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Hung2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChanHungBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 6 / 1050%60%5 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChanChan 1.61/Hung 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Chan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hung won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
B. Chan10
WAug 8 · 18:15B. Chan1.04111193B. Botha9.004750LJul 24 · 16:20B. Chan3.75911991B. Duda1.2511711113WJul 23 · 07:00B. Chan1.17101111113E. Ly4.50125251LJun 29 · 19:00B. Chan4.007370W. Jang1.221111113WJun 28 · 24:30B. Chan3.751711133Y. Huang1.25158110WJun 27 · 01:40B. Chan1.33171111113E. Wang3.051581361LJun 17 · 18:05B. Chan2.205980S. Aida1.601111113LJun 17 · 17:35B. Chan2.255980S. Aida1.571111113WJun 17 · 11:20B. Chan1.73471111113I. Quek2.0011119772LJun 10 · 09:10C. Andras2.3811911113B. Chan1.53411561
J. Hung10
LAug 9 · 18:30J. Hung1.83911118112M. Redzimski1.83119711133WAug 8 · 18:15S. Lam2.201114791J. Hung1.6181611113LJul 22 · 05:55F. Meng4.5061111113J. Hung1.17115831WJul 21 · 10:50H. Yang2.386590J. Hung1.531111113LJul 5 · 08:10J. Hung1.8068100J. Rolland1.801111123WJul 4 · 15:50J. Hung1.521111113A. Bhattacharjee2.326960WJul 4 · 10:20J. Hung1.501111113E. Tikhonov2.508660WJul 3 · 09:55J. Hung1.501111113V. Picard2.509990WJul 3 · 08:35J. Hung1.471111113V. Picard2.399990LJun 20 · 08:20J. Hung2.727111114132D. Jorgic1.38118916153
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