TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12283696
Played Jul 23Finished
Baldwin Chan
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012115112115––
Edward Ly
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeBaldwin Chan to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBaldwin Chan above · Edward Ly below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 9-3
Point 63 set 4, 9-3 — our read held Baldwin Chan at 76.6%
63 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Baldwin Chan 1–0 Edward Ly Edward Ly has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Chan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Chan 40% vs Ly 20%
Chan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chan 50% vs Ly 30%
Chan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chan -1 · Ly -4
Ly
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Chan) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chan form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChan 1.17 / Ly 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Chan)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12283696
Chan1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ly4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChan1wins
AwayLy0wins
Chan leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChanLyC − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.024.0+19.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChanLyBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 2 / 1050%20%5 / 10 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.61.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChanChan 1.17/Ly 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Chan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 07:00B. Chan—101111113E. Ly—125251
B. Chan10
LAug 9 · 12:40B. Chan1.61101050J. Hung2.201212103WAug 8 · 18:15B. Chan1.04111193B. Botha9.004750LJul 24 · 16:20B. Chan3.75911991B. Duda1.2511711113LJun 29 · 19:00B. Chan4.007370W. Jang1.221111113WJun 28 · 24:30B. Chan3.751711133Y. Huang1.25158110WJun 27 · 01:40B. Chan1.33171111113E. Wang3.051581361LJun 17 · 18:05B. Chan2.205980S. Aida1.601111113LJun 17 · 17:35B. Chan2.255980S. Aida1.571111113WJun 17 · 11:20B. Chan1.73471111113I. Quek2.0011119772LJun 10 · 09:10C. Andras2.3811911113B. Chan1.53411561
E. Ly10
LAug 26 · 16:40E. Ly1.851111118122M. Andersen1.85713811143LAug 26 · 16:26E. Ly1.831111118122M. Buch1.83713811143LAug 21 · 08:00C. Pletea1.6141111113E. Ly2.20117871LAug 9 · 13:15E. Ly4.5011480C. Andras1.171311113WAug 8 · 17:05J. Oyebode1.304118111E. Ly3.4011811133LJun 26 · 22:50H. Cifuentes1.2211811113E. Ly4.00711491LJun 16 · 09:45E. Ly10.507111241B. Fang1.02111310113WMay 21 · 08:00M. Dani5.5060E. Ly1.1360LMay 18 · 12:55E. Ly4.508570M. Freitas1.171111113LMay 18 · 11:40E. Ly4.488570M. Freitas1.151111113
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