TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Olomouc
WTT Feeder OlomoucMatch #13001368
Played Aug 24Finished
Bosman Botha
Home
6.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–8Last 9Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115511511411––
Alfonso Olave
Away
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:02 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeAlfonso Olave to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBosman Botha above · Alfonso Olave below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 63 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Alfonso Olave at 65.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Bosman Botha 0–1 Alfonso Olave Bosman Botha has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Olave
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Botha 20% vs Olave 60%
Olave
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Botha 11% vs Olave 60%
Olave
Correct
49pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Botha -4 · Olave +1
Botha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Olave) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olave form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBotha 6.50 / Olave 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Olave)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Olomouc · #13001368
Botha6.50
11%won 1 of 9 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest13%takes the first set · 1 of 8
Olave1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
25%takes the first set · 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBotha0wins
AwayOlave1wins
Olave leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBothaOlaveB − OBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match25.038.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBothaOlaveBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 8 vs 4 / 1012.5%40%1 / 8 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match0.51.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlaveBotha 6.50/Olave 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Olave · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Olave won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 24 · 15:10B. Botha—115541A. Olave—51111113
B. Botha9
LAug 25 · 09:10M. Froseth—1111113B. Botha—4850LAug 24 · 10:20B. Botha7.002520J. Martinko1.081111113LAug 21 · 10:55B. Botha8.505850M. Badowski1.051111113LAug 20 · 15:40B. Botha8.005330K. Sambe1.061111113LAug 20 · 10:20Z. Liu1.1713911113B. Botha4.501111491WAug 19 · 08:35B. Botha—1111123F. Cozmolici—97100LAug 8 · 18:15B. Chan1.04111193B. Botha9.004750LJul 10 · 15:20V. Picard1.011111113B. Botha13.007850LAug 10 · 19:05Y. Kwak1.051111113B. Botha8.503940
A. Olave10
LAug 25 · 09:45J. Martinko1.1311811113A. Olave5.50611631WAug 24 · 09:10M. Froseth2.00481191A. Olave1.7311113113LJul 31 · 14:35T. Apolonia1.051111113A. Olave8.507580LJul 23 · 15:40A. Orencel1.831211103A. Olave1.8310980WJun 29 · 21:30C. Arocha—1110881A. Olave—41211113WJun 27 · 18:00A. Olave1.834111110113A. Rubinos1.8311591262LJun 26 · 17:30G. Teodoro1.8310111011114A. Olave1.8312412742WJun 24 · 23:15A. Olave1.4410121111124I. Pastore2.63121054101LJun 4 · 13:35M. Pantoja1.361111113A. Olave3.009890LMar 30 · 18:15A. Olave3.00101360A. Hodaei1.361215113
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