TT Lossbeater/World Cup Qualification
Yun-Ju Lin vs Omar Assar 3-1 · World Cup Qualification
World Cup Qualification
Played Apr 1Finished
Yun-Ju Lin
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
211117116118––
Omar Assar
Away
6.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingYun-Ju Lin above · Omar Assar below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 67 set 4, 11-8
67 points played in total.
H2H Yun-Ju Lin 1–0 Omar Assar Omar Assar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Lin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lin form (80%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLin 1.10 / Assar 6.50
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Lin)-5.7pp (anti-value)
World Cup Qualification · #11670456
Lin1.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Assar6.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLin1wins
AwayAssar0wins
Lin leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLinAssarL − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.032.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinAssarBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 75 vs 9 / 3072%30%54 / 75 vs 9 / 30Avg sets wonper match2.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match41.433.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinLin 1.10/Assar 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Lin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—Y. Lin—3O. Assar—1
Y. Lin10
WSep 20 · 03:30Y. Lin—1111113R. Maharjan—5170LSep 8 · 11:40Y. Lin1.1311911762F. Coton5.50511911113LAug 13 · 17:45J. Groth6.60115112113Y. Lin1.0681141192LAug 13 · 17:45J. Groth7.00115112113Y. Lin1.0881141192WAug 11 · 10:35L. Jancarik6.00116531Y. Lin1.1171111113LAug 5 · 02:35J. Lim4.509111111113Y. Lin1.1711971392LAug 4 · 02:00J. Lim4.509111111113Y. Lin1.1711971392LJun 29 · 02:45Y. Lin1.2298111142G. Kuo4.00111128113LMay 9 · 16:00T. Harimoto2.1051112123Y. Lin1.6711910101WMay 7 · 21:50A. Kallberg2.638950Y. Lin1.441111113
O. Assar10
LSep 19 · 06:45F. Coton1.441111113O. Assar2.639590WSep 18 · 08:55A. Rassenfosse2.00481111102O. Assar1.73111189123LSep 8 · 04:45O. Assar4.339790Y. Chen1.201111113LAug 15 · 10:45D. Jorgic1.221211111084O. Assar4.00109712112WAug 14 · 12:50O. Assar2.50131159113J. Groth1.50119111192WAug 13 · 10:35C. Andras2.1011850O. Assar1.671311113WAug 10 · 11:45O. Assar3.50111567113J. Chen1.28913111172LAug 4 · 02:00J. Oh1.171211113O. Assar4.5010780LJun 30 · 20:10O. Assar4.502840S. Matsushima1.171111113WJun 28 · 19:35O. Assar1.0715912113F. Luu7.5013111081
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