TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Adrien Rassenfosse vs Omar Assar 2-3 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 18Finished
Adrien Rassenfosse
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4118111181191012
Omar Assar
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOmar Assar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrien Rassenfosse above · Omar Assar below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 95 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Omar Assar at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Assar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Rassenfosse 40% vs Assar 60%
Assar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rassenfosse 60% vs Assar 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rassenfosse +1 · Assar -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Assar)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRassenfosse 2.00 / Assar 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Assar)+0.3pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13148082
Rassenfosse2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Assar1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRassenfosseAssarBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 5 / 1060%50%6 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AssarRassenfosse 2.00/Assar 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Assar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Assar won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Rassenfosse10
WSep 17 · 02:00R. Walther1.83118541A. Rassenfosse1.8321111113LSep 9 · 05:55T. Pucar1.5011115113A. Rassenfosse2.50541181LAug 11 · 17:10W. Jang1.1114119113A. Rassenfosse6.001291181LJul 1 · 03:55A. Rassenfosse3.25117991A. Lind1.3391111113WJun 29 · 01:35A. Rassenfosse1.6611711113E. Ranefur2.10811391LJun 11 · 10:45A. Rassenfosse3.2551181142Y. Uda1.33119118113WJun 10 · 16:20A. Rassenfosse3.75111111153L. Yuan1.253135131WJun 10 · 11:30A. Rassenfosse1.0811611123I. Kharki7.008118101WJun 9 · 14:45A. Rassenfosse1.051111113M. Dessel8.506740WJun 6 · 15:30O. Assar1.619111011122A. Rassenfosse2.20116126143
O. Assar10
LSep 19 · 06:45F. Coton1.441111113O. Assar2.639590LSep 8 · 04:45O. Assar4.339790Y. Chen1.201111113LAug 15 · 10:45D. Jorgic1.221211111084O. Assar4.00109712112WAug 14 · 12:50O. Assar2.50131159113J. Groth1.50119111192WAug 13 · 10:35C. Andras2.1011850O. Assar1.671311113WAug 10 · 11:45O. Assar3.50111567113J. Chen1.28913111172LAug 4 · 02:00J. Oh1.171211113O. Assar4.5010780LJun 30 · 20:10O. Assar4.502840S. Matsushima1.171111113WJun 28 · 19:35O. Assar1.0715912113F. Luu7.5013111081LJun 6 · 15:30O. Assar1.619111011122A. Rassenfosse2.20116126143
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