TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender AstanaMatch #13139537
Played Sep 17Finished
Ricardo Walther
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
112811511411––
Adrien Rassenfosse
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRicardo Walther to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRicardo Walther above · Adrien Rassenfosse below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 63 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Ricardo Walther at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:27What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rassenfosse
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Walther 40% vs Rassenfosse 20%
Walther
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walther 40% vs Rassenfosse 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Walther -1 · Rassenfosse -3
Rassenfosse
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Walther)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rassenfosse form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalther 1.83 / Rassenfosse 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Walther)+4.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13139537
Walther1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rassenfosse1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWaltherRassenfosseBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 5 / 1040%50%4 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WaltherWalther 1.83/Rassenfosse 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Walther · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rassenfosse won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Walther10
LSep 11 · 14:00T. Poret1.3681111113R. Walther3.00114441WSep 10 · 03:00R. Walther2.20121111113W. Verdonschot1.61146751LSep 3 · 06:45R. Walther1.2893121162D. Ivonin3.501111108113LAug 9 · 12:05R. Walther3.50811891G. Park1.2811911113WAug 8 · 15:55F. Zeljko1.835860R. Walther1.831111113LJun 27 · 18:45F. Xue1.50811911113R. Walther2.5011911662LJun 17 · 16:15R. Walther2.10591141R. Yoshiyama1.6711116113WJun 16 · 16:00R. Walther1.1711211113I. Kharki4.50711391WJun 16 · 10:20R. Walther1.36131211113L. Mladenovic3.001510861LJun 9 · 14:10L. Yuan1.2511812113R. Walther3.755111091
A. Rassenfosse10
LSep 9 · 05:55T. Pucar1.5011115113A. Rassenfosse2.50541181LAug 11 · 17:10W. Jang1.1114119113A. Rassenfosse6.001291181LJul 1 · 03:55A. Rassenfosse3.25117991A. Lind1.3391111113WJun 29 · 01:35A. Rassenfosse1.6611711113E. Ranefur2.10811391LJun 11 · 10:45A. Rassenfosse3.2551181142Y. Uda1.33119118113WJun 10 · 16:20A. Rassenfosse3.75111111153L. Yuan1.253135131WJun 10 · 11:30A. Rassenfosse1.0811611123I. Kharki7.008118101WJun 9 · 14:45A. Rassenfosse1.051111113M. Dessel8.506740WJun 6 · 15:30O. Assar1.619111011122A. Rassenfosse2.20116126143LJun 6 · 10:10A. Rassenfosse4.3311107111D. Jorgic1.2061211133
Upcoming Matches
R. Walther
Nothing scheduled
A. Rassenfosse
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