TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13091213
Played Sep 8Finished
Omar Assar
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Yuanyu Chen
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:17 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeOmar Assar to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOmar Assar above · Yuanyu Chen below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Omar Assar at 55.6%
58 points played in total.
H2H Omar Assar 0–1 Yuanyu Chen Omar Assar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:17What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Chen
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Assar 60% vs Chen 40%
Assar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Assar 60% vs Chen 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Assar -1 · Chen -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Chen) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chen form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAssar 4.33 / Chen 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Chen)-0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13091213
Assar4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Chen1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAssar0wins
AwayChen1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderChen leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAssarChenA − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.047.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAssarChenBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 5 / 1060%50%6 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChenAssar 4.33/Chen 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Chen · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chen won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 11 · 03:00O. Assar4611613882Y. Chen473111111113
O. Assar10
LAug 15 · 10:45D. Jorgic1.221211111084O. Assar4.00109712112WAug 14 · 12:50O. Assar2.50131159113J. Groth1.50119111192WAug 13 · 10:35C. Andras2.1011850O. Assar1.671311113WAug 10 · 11:45O. Assar3.50111567113J. Chen1.28913111172LAug 4 · 02:00J. Oh1.171211113O. Assar4.5010780LJun 30 · 20:10O. Assar4.502840S. Matsushima1.171111113WJun 28 · 19:35O. Assar1.0715912113F. Luu7.5013111081LJun 19 · 16:10H. Calderano1.141111113O. Assar5.008650WJun 18 · 16:10L. Bardet1.651411981O. Assar2.05121311113WJun 18 · 04:00L. Bardet1.671411981O. Assar2.10121311113
Y. Chen10
LSep 11 · 03:35D. Jorgic1.53119811113Y. Chen2.3841111882LAug 10 · 10:35S. Lin1.2011711113Y. Chen4.33911461LAug 7 · 09:55Y. Chen2.389460W. Jang1.531111113WAug 6 · 04:20S. Gauzy1.8051020Y. Chen1.901112113WAug 4 · 02:00S. Gauzy1.6151020Y. Chen2.201112113LJul 1 · 20:00H. Calderano1.501111113Y. Chen2.505520WJun 28 · 20:45N. Naresh10.50681141Y. Chen1.0211118113LJun 19 · 11:20Y. Chen1.4411411982C. Wong2.63411711113LJun 13 · 16:45J. An2.0071211113Y. Chen1.731110481WJun 13 · 10:45H. Shinozuka2.2511108121Y. Chen1.5751211143
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