TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12408532
Played Aug 13Finished
Jonathan Groth
Home
6.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118511114211119
Yun-Ju Lin
Away
1.06
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYun-Ju Lin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJonathan Groth above · Yun-Ju Lin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 83 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Yun-Ju Lin at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:04What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (86%)
Lin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Groth 20% vs Lin 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Groth 50% vs Lin 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Groth +1 · Lin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Lin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lin form (20%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGroth 6.60 / Lin 1.06
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Lin)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12408532
Groth6.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Lin1.06
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrothLinBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 6 / 1050%60%5 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
LinGroth 6.60/Lin 1.06
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
86.2%
Lin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Groth won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Groth10
LAug 14 · 12:50O. Assar2.50131159113J. Groth1.50119111192WAug 13 · 17:45J. Groth7.00115112113Y. Lin1.0881141192WAug 10 · 16:35J. Groth1.83117711123M. Karlsson1.83811118102LJun 29 · 02:45C. Wong1.61512128113J. Groth2.201110101162LJun 18 · 16:10J. Groth2.407101161M. Oikawa1.4811127113LJun 18 · 04:00J. Groth2.507101161M. Oikawa1.5011127113LJun 4 · 10:45J. Lim1.501214113J. Groth2.50101240LMay 6 · 09:00J. Groth1.73111178112Y. Feng2.00551111133WMay 4 · 20:30E. Ly4.3518130J. Groth1.161111153WMay 4 · 18:26E. Wang4.008690J. Groth1.221111113
Y. Lin10
LAug 13 · 17:45J. Groth7.00115112113Y. Lin1.0881141192WAug 11 · 10:35L. Jancarik6.00116531Y. Lin1.1171111113LAug 5 · 02:35J. Lim4.509111111113Y. Lin1.1711971392LAug 4 · 02:00J. Lim4.509111111113Y. Lin1.1711971392LJun 29 · 02:45Y. Lin1.2298111142G. Kuo4.00111128113LMay 9 · 16:00T. Harimoto2.1051112123Y. Lin1.6711910101WMay 7 · 21:50A. Kallberg2.638950Y. Lin1.441111113WMay 7 · 19:50T. Moregard2.5089110Y. Lin1.501111133WMay 6 · 09:35A. Lind2.75114391Y. Lin1.4071111113WMay 5 · 09:00D. Levajac10.50114571Y. Lin1.0281111113
Upcoming Matches
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