TT Lossbeater/ITTF World Team Champs
ITTF World Team ChampsMatch #11857710
Played May 7Finished
Truls Moregard
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8119111113––––
Yun-Ju Lin
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingTruls Moregard above · Yun-Ju Lin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-12
Point 62 set 3, 11-12
62 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Truls Moregard 1–3 Yun-Ju Lin Truls Moregard has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoregard 2.50 / Lin 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Lin)+0.0pp
ITTF World Team Champs · #11857710
Moregard2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Lin1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMoregard1wins
AwayLin3wins
Lin leads 3–1.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moregard0Lin4n = 4Lin took 4 of 4
S2Moregard1Lin3n = 4Lin took 3 of 4
S3Moregard1Lin3n = 4Lin took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricMoregardLinM − LBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match40.041.5−1.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoregardLinBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 88 vs 59 / 8168.2%72.8%60 / 88 vs 59 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.52.6per matchAvg pointsper match42.241.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinMoregard 2.50/Lin 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Lin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
W—T. Moregard—4Y. Lin—2
L—T. Moregard—0Y. Lin—3
L—T. Moregard—3Y. Lin—2
L—T. Moregard—3Y. Lin—0
T. Moregard10
LAug 11 · 17:10T. Moregard1.149380D. Ovtcharov5.001111113LJul 5 · 21:15T. Moregard1.34118111193V. Sidorenko2.8541153114LJul 5 · 18:15T. Moregard1.30118111193V. Sidorenko3.4041153114WJul 5 · 01:45W. Jang2.2046550T. Moregard1.61111111114WJul 4 · 02:45K. Jha3.75311591T. Moregard1.2511611113WJul 1 · 20:45A. Bertelsmeier4.501211116102T. Moregard1.171013511123WJun 29 · 21:55Q. Aruna4.5012650T. Moregard1.171411113WMay 17 · 14:00T. Moregard1.8311115113A. Lebrun1.83571161WMay 17 · 12:27T. Moregard3.751515123F. Lebrun1.251313100WMay 16 · 11:30T. Moregard1.05113141063P. Gionis8.50811121242
Y. Lin10
LAug 13 · 17:45J. Groth6.60115112113Y. Lin1.0681141192LAug 13 · 17:45J. Groth7.00115112113Y. Lin1.0881141192WAug 11 · 10:35L. Jancarik6.00116531Y. Lin1.1171111113LAug 5 · 02:35J. Lim4.509111111113Y. Lin1.1711971392LAug 4 · 02:00J. Lim4.509111111113Y. Lin1.1711971392LJun 29 · 02:45Y. Lin1.2298111142G. Kuo4.00111128113LMay 9 · 16:00T. Harimoto2.1051112123Y. Lin1.6711910101WMay 7 · 21:50A. Kallberg2.638950Y. Lin1.441111113WMay 6 · 09:35A. Lind2.75114391Y. Lin1.4071111113WMay 5 · 09:00D. Levajac10.50114571Y. Lin1.0281111113
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