Valerii Vlasenko vs Mykyta Smyrnov · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts Oct 13, 20:15Scheduled

Valerii Vlasenko

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 3

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Head to head

33 – 62

All 95 meetings · 34.7%

Last 10 · 7–3Split

Mykyta Smyrnov

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Neither player arrives off a win: both lost their last one.

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVlasenko 2.10 / Smyrnov 1.666

Round robin · match 1 of 15

0 of 15 played

Group 11 of 17 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
=	Anton Shypilov	0–0	0–0	5
=	Mykyta SmyrnovThis match	0–0	0–0	5
=	Oleh Napirko	0–0	0–0	5
=	Oleksii Mitla	0–0	0–0	5
=	Ruslan Lazebnyi	0–0	0–0	5
=	Valerii VlasenkoThis match	0–0	0–0	5

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVlasenko7wins

AwaySmyrnov3wins

5 of 10 to a deciderVlasenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVlasenko100%3 of 3

AwaySmyrnov42.9%3 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vlasenko3Smyrnov7n = 10Smyrnov took 7 of 10

S2Vlasenko6Smyrnov4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10

S3Vlasenko7Smyrnov3n = 10Vlasenko took 7 of 10

S4Vlasenko4Smyrnov4n = 8split evenly

S5Vlasenko4Smyrnov1n = 5Vlasenko took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricVlasenkoSmyrnovV − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.940.8+1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVlasenkoSmyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 928 vs 427 / 88443.4%48.3%403 / 928 vs 427 / 884Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match

Setka Cup · #13286251

Vlasenko2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 12)

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog42% won 126 of 299

Down 0–1, comes back24% 37 of 154

Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79

Smyrnov1.67

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 12)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite58% won 108 of 186

Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56

Up 1–0, closes it75% 80 of 107

Valerii Vlasenko vs Mykyta Smyrnov · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 1 of 15

Round robin before this match

Valerii Vlasenko vs Mykyta Smyrnov · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 1 of 15

Round robin before this match