Michal Lysakowski vs Szymon Radlo 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Michal Lysakowski

Home

1.52

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

5111214911––––

Szymon Radlo

Away

2.37

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched: 55.5% is still 55.5%

Graded at full time

Michal Lysakowski to win

55.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

62 points played in total.

Set by set

5111214911––––

H2H Michal Lysakowski 64–51 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 51 of their 115 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Lysakowski

Lysakowski 1.52/Radlo 2.37

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.5%

Lysakowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Radlo won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:39

55.5%Our read65.8%to break even at 1.52

short by 10.3pp

65.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.52 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.52 (61%)

Lysakowski

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

64-51 in 115

Lysakowski

Wrong

gap of 13 in 115, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lysakowski 1651 vs Radlo 1547

Lysakowski

Wrong

both rated, 104 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lysakowski 80% vs Radlo 60%

Lysakowski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lysakowski 70% vs Radlo 50%

Lysakowski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Lysakowski +2 · Radlo -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Lysakowski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Radlo: form 60%, the price implies 42%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLysakowski 1.52 / Radlo 2.37

Signal prob.56% / 45%

Edge (Lysakowski)-10.3pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Lysakowski beat Radlo 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLysakowski7wins

AwayRadlo3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLysakowski85.7%6 of 7

AwayRadlo66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lysakowski7Radlo3n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10

S2Lysakowski6Radlo4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10

S3Lysakowski7Radlo3n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10

S4Lysakowski6Radlo2n = 8Lysakowski took 6 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricLysakowskiRadloL − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.936.5+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLysakowskiRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime666 / 1335 vs 415 / 84149.9%49.4%666 / 1335 vs 415 / 841Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match

TT Cup · #13284850

Lysakowski1.52

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite57% won 200 of 353

Up 2–0, closes it94% 124 of 132

Up 1–0, closes it77% 168 of 217

Radlo2.37

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog50% won 167 of 336

Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 165

Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 97

Michal Lysakowski vs Szymon Radlo 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Michal Lysakowski vs Szymon Radlo 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.