Dawid Stapor vs Szymon Radlo 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupPoland 1 · Kielce

Played Oct 12Finished

Dawid Stapor

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

911911117811––

Szymon Radlo

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Dawid Stapor to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

77 points played in total.

Set by set

911911117811––

H2H Dawid Stapor 39–35 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 35 of their 74 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Stapor

Stapor 1.83/Radlo 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Stapor · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Radlo won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 06:18

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.83

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.83 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Radlo

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

39-35 in 74

Stapor

Wrong

gap of 4 in 74, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Stapor 1603 vs Radlo 1558

Stapor

Wrong

both rated, 45 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stapor 40% vs Radlo 60%

Radlo

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stapor 40% vs Radlo 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Stapor -1 · Radlo +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Stapor) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stapor: form 40%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStapor 1.83 / Radlo 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Stapor)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStapor7wins

AwayRadlo3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStapor85.7%6 of 7

AwayRadlo66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stapor7Radlo3n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10

S2Stapor4Radlo6n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10

S3Stapor6Radlo4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10

S4Stapor4Radlo6n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10

S5Stapor3Radlo0n = 3Stapor took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricStaporRadloS − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.744.2+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStaporRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime501 / 929 vs 414 / 83853.9%49.4%501 / 929 vs 414 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match

TT Cup · #13283190

Stapor1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Radlo1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Dawid Stapor vs Szymon Radlo 1-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dawid Stapor vs Szymon Radlo 1-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.