Jan Masternak vs Szymon Radlo 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupPoland 1 · Kielce

Played Oct 12Finished

Jan Masternak

Home

2.05

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

811115113119––

Szymon Radlo

Away

1.68

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:53 and never touched: 55.4% is still 55.4%

Graded at full time

Szymon Radlo to win

55.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

69 points played in total.

Set by set

811115113119––

H2H Jan Masternak 34–37 Szymon Radlo Jan Masternak has won 34 of their 71 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Radlo

Masternak 2.05/Radlo 1.68

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.4%

Radlo · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Masternak won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:53

55.4%Our read59.5%to break even at 1.68

short by 4.1pp

59.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.68 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.68 (55%)

Radlo

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

34-37 in 71

Radlo

Wrong

gap of 3 in 71, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Masternak 1506 vs Radlo 1560

Radlo

Wrong

both rated, 55 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Masternak 20% vs Radlo 60%

Radlo

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Masternak 40% vs Radlo 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Masternak -4 · Radlo -1

Masternak

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Radlo) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Masternak: form 20%, the price implies 49%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMasternak 2.05 / Radlo 1.68

Signal prob.45% / 55%

Edge (Radlo)-4.1pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMasternak6wins

AwayRadlo4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderMasternak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMasternak75%3 of 4

AwayRadlo50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Masternak4Radlo6n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10

S2Masternak7Radlo3n = 10Masternak took 7 of 10

S3Masternak7Radlo3n = 10Masternak took 7 of 10

S4Masternak2Radlo5n = 7Radlo took 5 of 7

S5Masternak2Radlo1n = 3Masternak took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMasternakRadloM − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.742.7+1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMasternakRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 943 vs 415 / 84043.6%49.4%411 / 943 vs 415 / 840Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.8per match

TT Cup · #13284401

Masternak2.05

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog42% won 115 of 273

Down 0–1, comes back23% 36 of 155

Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 89

Radlo1.68

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite53% won 111 of 211

Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60

Up 1–0, closes it75% 91 of 121

Jan Masternak vs Szymon Radlo 3-1 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jan Masternak vs Szymon Radlo 3-1 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.