Dominik Bartosik vs Andrzej Krezel 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Dominik Bartosik

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

311711117116116

Andrzej Krezel

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:01 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%

Graded at full time

Andrzej Krezel to win

54.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDominik Bartosik above · Andrzej Krezel below

Set 1 · 3-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-6

Set 5 · 11-6

Point 84 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Andrzej Krezel at 54.5%

84 points played in total.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Krezel

Bartosik 2.00/Krezel 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.5%

Krezel · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Bartosik won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:01

54.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.4pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Krezel

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Bartosik 1355 vs Krezel 1413

Krezel

Wrong

both rated, 58 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Bartosik 60% vs Krezel 20%

Bartosik

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Bartosik 40% vs Krezel 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Bartosik +1 · Krezel +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Krezel) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krezel: form 20%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBartosik 2.00 / Krezel 1.727

Signal prob.46% / 55%

Edge (Krezel)-3.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricBartosikKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 22 vs 124 / 31250%39.7%11 / 22 vs 124 / 312Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.236.2per match

TT Elite Series · #13284370

Bartosik2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Krezel1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite56% won 46 of 82

Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34

Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51

Dominik Bartosik vs Andrzej Krezel 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dominik Bartosik vs Andrzej Krezel 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.