Miroslav Sklensky vs Grzegorz Poliniewicz · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Starts 10:05Scheduled

Miroslav Sklensky

Home

1.41

At publish

Won last 3

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Head to head

50 – 15

All 65 meetings · 76.9%

Last 10 · 7–3Same side

Grzegorz Poliniewicz

Away

2.70

At publish

Lost last 3

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSklensky 1.41 / Poliniewicz 2.70

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Sklensky beat Poliniewicz 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSklensky7wins

AwayPoliniewicz3wins

6 of 10 to a deciderSklensky leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSklensky66.7%4 of 6

AwayPoliniewicz25%1 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sklensky6Poliniewicz4n = 10Sklensky took 6 of 10

S2Sklensky5Poliniewicz5n = 10split evenly

S3Sklensky7Poliniewicz3n = 10Sklensky took 7 of 10

S4Sklensky6Poliniewicz3n = 9Sklensky took 6 of 9

S5Sklensky3Poliniewicz3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSklenskyPoliniewiczS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.938.9+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSklenskyPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime663 / 1115 vs 1198 / 208759.5%57.4%663 / 1115 vs 1198 / 2087Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match

TT Elite Series · #13283738

Sklensky1.41

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite66% won 204 of 310

Up 2–0, closes it95% 116 of 122

Up 1–0, closes it81% 155 of 191

Poliniewicz2.70

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog37% won 131 of 359

Down 0–1, comes back17% 34 of 200

Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 123

Miroslav Sklensky vs Grzegorz Poliniewicz · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Miroslav Sklensky vs Grzegorz Poliniewicz · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary