Jaroslav Baca vs Petr Vicherek 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 20 - Czech 9 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Jaroslav Baca

Home

2.50

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

1214711911––––

Petr Vicherek

Away

1.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%

Graded at full time

Petr Vicherek to win

62.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJaroslav Baca above · Petr Vicherek below

Set 1 · 12-14

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 64 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Petr Vicherek at 62.5%

64 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Baca 0–1 Petr Vicherek Jaroslav Baca has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 0–1Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vicherek

Baca 2.50/Vicherek 1.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.5%

Vicherek · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Vicherek won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:53

62.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 4.2pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Vicherek

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

0-1 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Baca 1581 vs Vicherek 1661

Vicherek

Correct

both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Baca 40% vs Vicherek 60%

Vicherek

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Baca 50% vs Vicherek 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Baca +2 · Vicherek +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Vicherek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBaca 2.50 / Vicherek 1.50

Signal prob.38% / 63%

Edge (Vicherek)-4.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeBaca0wins

AwayVicherek1wins

Vicherek leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away0

0–3Straight, away1

This 1 meeting

MetricBacaVicherekB − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match28.036.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBacaVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 5 vs 178 / 37940%47%2 / 5 vs 178 / 379Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.436.8per match

TT Cup · #13283513

Baca2.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 06)

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Vicherek1.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 29) · back after a break

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite52% won 38 of 73

Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34

Jaroslav Baca vs Petr Vicherek 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jaroslav Baca vs Petr Vicherek 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.