Filip Sikora vs Petr Vicherek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 20 - Czech 9 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Filip Sikora

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

141211910121111311

Petr Vicherek

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Filip Sikora to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Filip Sikora @ 1.91 · Won

How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Petr Vicherek below

Set 1 · 14-12

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 1-11

Set 5 · 13-11

Point 104 set 5, 13-11 · our read held Filip Sikora at 54.0%

104 points played in total.

H2H Filip Sikora 15–15 Petr Vicherek Dead even across their 30 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sikora

Sikora 1.83/Vicherek 1.83

Hit

What we said

54%

Sikora · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Filip Sikora @ 1.91 · Won

What happened

3–2

Sikora won

The pick

Sealed 09:08

Sent to Pro: Filip Sikora @ 1.91 · Won

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Vicherek

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

15-15 in 30

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sikora 1780 vs Vicherek 1661

Sikora

Correct

both rated, 119 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sikora 80% vs Vicherek 60%

Sikora

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sikora 70% vs Vicherek 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Sikora +4 · Vicherek +2

Sikora

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sikora) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sikora: form 80%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSikora 1.833 / Vicherek 1.833

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Sikora)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSikora5wins

AwayVicherek5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSikora57.1%4 of 7

AwayVicherek66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sikora7Vicherek3n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10

S2Sikora6Vicherek4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10

S3Sikora4Vicherek6n = 10Vicherek took 6 of 10

S4Sikora3Vicherek2n = 5Sikora took 3 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricSikoraVicherekS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.534.7+0.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSikoraVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 327 vs 178 / 37956.6%47%185 / 327 vs 178 / 379Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.8per match

TT Cup · #13283718

Sikora1.83

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Vicherek1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Filip Sikora vs Petr Vicherek 3-2 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Filip Sikora vs Petr Vicherek 3-2 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.