Witold Stechly vs Dariusz Maszczynski 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia

Played Oct 12Finished

Witold Stechly

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

911411118117711

Dariusz Maszczynski

Away

1.71

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:59 and never touched: 55.3% is still 55.3%

Graded at full time

Dariusz Maszczynski to win

55.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

90 points played in total.

Set by set

911411118117711

H2H Witold Stechly 8–5 Dariusz Maszczynski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 5 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Maszczynski

Stechly 2.00/Maszczynski 1.71

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.3%

Maszczynski · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Maszczynski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:59

55.3%Our read58.5%to break even at 1.71

short by 3.2pp

58.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.71 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.71 (54%)

Maszczynski

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

8-5 in 13

Stechly

Wrong

gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Stechly 1062 vs Maszczynski 1092

Maszczynski

Correct

both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stechly 40% vs Maszczynski 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stechly 30% vs Maszczynski 20%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Stechly -1 · Maszczynski -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Maszczynski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Maszczynski: form 40%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStechly 2.00 / Maszczynski 1.71

Signal prob.45% / 55%

Edge (Maszczynski)-3.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStechly6wins

AwayMaszczynski4wins

5 of 10 to a deciderStechly leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStechly75%3 of 4

AwayMaszczynski50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stechly4Maszczynski6n = 10Maszczynski took 6 of 10

S2Stechly4Maszczynski6n = 10Maszczynski took 6 of 10

S3Stechly7Maszczynski3n = 10Stechly took 7 of 10

S4Stechly3Maszczynski5n = 8Maszczynski took 5 of 8

S5Stechly4Maszczynski1n = 5Stechly took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricStechlyMaszczynskiS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.9+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStechlyMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 544 vs 112 / 50018.2%22.4%99 / 544 vs 112 / 500Avg sets wonper match1.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match33.733.4per match

TT Elite Series · #13283357

Stechly2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog20% won 45 of 228

Down 0–1, comes back11% 18 of 160

Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 103

Maszczynski1.71

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite65% won 11 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it80% 8 of 10

Witold Stechly vs Dariusz Maszczynski 2-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Witold Stechly vs Dariusz Maszczynski 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.