TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Iwasyszyn vs Adrian Eliasz 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9117111210311––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:45 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
9117111210311––
H2H Wojciech Iwasyszyn 2–4 Adrian Eliasz Wojciech Iwasyszyn has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:4554.0%Our read57.1%to break even at 1.75
short by 3.1pp57.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.75 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Eliasz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Eliasz
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Iwasyszyn 1307 vs Eliasz 1322
Eliasz
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Iwasyszyn 60% vs Eliasz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Iwasyszyn 60% vs Eliasz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Iwasyszyn +2 · Eliasz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Eliasz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIwasyszyn 1.95 / Eliasz 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Eliasz)-3.1pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13277769
Iwasyszyn1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 94 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back33% 42 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 62
Eliasz1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it70% 39 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeIwasyszyn2wins
AwayEliasz4wins
3 of 6 to a deciderEliasz leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIwasyszyn25%1 of 4
AwayEliaszn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Iwasyszyn4Eliasz2n = 6Iwasyszyn took 4 of 6
S2Iwasyszyn2Eliasz4n = 6Eliasz took 4 of 6
S3Iwasyszyn2Eliasz4n = 6Eliasz took 4 of 6
S4Iwasyszyn3Eliasz3n = 6split evenly
S5Iwasyszyn1Eliasz2n = 3Eliasz took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricIwasyszynEliaszI − EBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.742.3−2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIwasyszynEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime514 / 1019 vs 362 / 92350.4%39.2%514 / 1019 vs 362 / 923Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
EliaszIwasyszyn 1.95/Eliasz 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Eliasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Eliasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LOct 4 · 12:15W. Iwasyszyn4211116682A. Eliasz46581111113
WOct 4 · 04:55W. Iwasyszyn506111111113A. Eliasz4611139762
LJun 21 · 11:50W. Iwasyszyn4212481172A. Eliasz491011116113
WJun 21 · 06:30W. Iwasyszyn4312911113A. Eliasz311011731
LApr 4 · 11:50W. Iwasyszyn33117691A. Eliasz4071111113
LFeb 17 · 11:55W. Iwasyszyn28811451A. Eliasz4211911113
W. Iwasyszyn10
LOct 11 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.861111113W. Iwasyszyn1.837360WOct 11 · 03:50W. Iwasyszyn2.061112153A. Myszewski1.69710130WOct 10 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn2.1011611113M. Kukawka1.66411781LOct 10 · 13:05W. Iwasyszyn1.956660J. Przewlocki1.741111113LOct 10 · 11:50W. Iwasyszyn2.5011911722I. Dabrowski1.47911911113WOct 10 · 10:10W. Iwasyszyn1.731110511113J. Rolak1.9881211982WOct 10 · 09:00W. Iwasyszyn1.91291111113A. Szoltysek1.8011117862WOct 10 · 08:10W. Iwasyszyn2.25111167113A. Szoltysek1.5778111162LOct 10 · 06:30D. Wrobel1.9011811113W. Iwasyszyn1.80911781WOct 10 · 05:40J. Przewlocki1.85111171592W. Iwasyszyn1.851361113113
A. Eliasz10
LOct 11 · 03:25B. Wisniewski1.87115115113A. Eliasz1.8381191172WOct 10 · 00:10A. Eliasz2.0011511133M. Skorski1.719115111WOct 9 · 23:20A. Eliasz1.71411511113D. Poloszczanski2.0011611742WOct 9 · 21:55A. Eliasz1.951111113B. Warpas1.758780LOct 9 · 21:30A. Eliasz1.8581090M. Lukaszewski1.851112113WOct 9 · 20:30D. Poloszczanski2.00811771A. Eliasz1.7111611113WOct 9 · 19:20A. Eliasz1.75611118113M. Skorski1.9511561182LOct 9 · 18:10P. Strus1.88133811113A. Eliasz1.83111111592LOct 9 · 16:55M. Lukaszewski2.00416411113A. Eliasz1.72111411882LOct 9 · 15:25B. Warpas1.83111111113A. Eliasz1.83861381
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